NBC/WSJ Poll: Obama +3 nationally, +8 in "swing states" (user search)
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  NBC/WSJ Poll: Obama +3 nationally, +8 in "swing states" (search mode)
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Author Topic: NBC/WSJ Poll: Obama +3 nationally, +8 in "swing states"  (Read 578 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,190
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: June 27, 2012, 12:05:13 AM »

The swing state numbers are meaningless, because the population of the swing states is about 90 million out of 315 million. In a sample of 1000 people, this would only yield about 300 respondents, with a MoE of about 6-7%.

Today, we'll get a Quinnipiac "swing state" poll anyway, from FL, OH and PA.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,190
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: June 27, 2012, 12:37:52 AM »

Today, we'll get a Quinnipiac "swing state" poll anyway, from FL, OH and PA.

By this time in 2008, Quinnipiac has already started polling "likely voters".

Maybe they are starting with this today as well. Let's wait and see.
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