RI's 2016 Precinct Map Thread

[NOVA Green]

Colorado swing map:


I'm seeing a trend in a lot of these western swing maps: the areas swinging toward Hillary tend to be more white while the areas that are more Hispanic tend to be swinging toward Trump. Not that it proves anything, but still.

It's also interesting to note that some of the areas with the largest swings towards Clinton were relatively wealthier places...

For example--- if we look at the Denver suburbs of Douglas County, you see significant swings in places with pretty high median household incomes....

El Paso County (Colorado Springs area) you see significant swings towards Clinton in the relatively affluent North Central part of the County, and to some extent in the hills West of Colorado Springs.... Meanwhile in the lower income precincts within the City, you have a significant swing towards Trump.

[Antonio the Sixth]

It's also interesting to note that some of the areas with the largest swings towards Clinton were relatively wealthier places...

That seems to be a pattern nationwide.

[OneJ]

On Mississippi's map:

Could it be a mistake in Hinds County located in Jackson (West) where there is a lonely blue dot in a sea of red?

[NOVA Green]

It's also interesting to note that some of the areas with the largest swings towards Clinton were relatively wealthier places...

That seems to be a pattern nationwide.

Yup... and there is whole discussion on this thread about that very phenomenon.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=259050.0

Since I have been involved in pulling some numbers for various places, RI's awesome precinct swing map caused me to take a peek at a few locations in Colorado to see if the patterns match.

[RI]

On Mississippi's map:

Could it be a mistake in Hinds County located in Jackson (West) where there is a lonely blue dot in a sea of red?

It appears the City of Jackson slightly renumbered their precincts in 2013. I'll fix it.

EDIT: Here's the corrected version:

[Mad Deadly Worldwide Communist Gangster Computer God]

Arizona, please?  I'd love to see the swing map.

[RI]

Arizona, please?  I'd love to see the swing map.

I've already posted the 2016 AZ results. As far as swing goes, AZ's rough because there have been a lot of precinct changes and consolidations in the rural areas between 2012 and 2016. I'm not sure how well it will work, but I can give it a shot.

[RI]

Here's my AZ swing attempt. It appears the story here is a bit more nuanced than in Colorado. The Hispanic areas of Phoenix and Tucson swung slightly one way or the other but not by that much while the big Dem gains were in the white suburbs west of Phoenix and north of Tucson. However, the Dems did make big gains in many of the heavily Hispanic parts of Santa Cruz and Yuma Counties along the Mexican border, but not really in Cochise County along the border. Perhaps this is due to higher levels of immigration as opposed to swings? I'm not sure.

[bdp3wh]

Hey RI, these maps are great.  Wondering if you saw my other thread asking about precinct maps.  Would love to pick your brain about recent precinct maps if you have the time.

[bdp3wh]

RI, got your message but I guess I can't send PMs yet.  Just wanted to say thanks -- still holding out hope I can find something systematic, but knowing which counties haven't changed much, as you noted in your message, will be a time-saver if I have to go down that road. 

[Mad Deadly Worldwide Communist Gangster Computer God]

Great work!  Those white suburban swings do seem consistent with the rest of the country.

[MeanBeanMachine]

I've noticed on the main page of this site that northeastern states have the votes broken down to each town.  Will this be the case for other states soon?

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

I've noticed on the main page of this site that northeastern states have the votes broken down to each town.  Will this be the case for other states soon?

Probably not Derek. That's a function of the northeastern States largely making county government irrelevant. In most states, there won't be a sharp alignment between precinct boundaries and municipal boundaries.

[VPH]

Did you tabulate or post the Kansas swing map yet?

[Gass3268]

I've noticed on the main page of this site that northeastern states have the votes broken down to each town.  Will this be the case for other states soon?

Probably not Derek. That's a function of the northeastern States largely making county government irrelevant. In most states, there won't be a sharp alignment between precinct boundaries and municipal boundaries.

We can also see the town/city maps for many of the Midwest states.

[Confused Democrat]

Is anyone working on Florida?

I'm real curious.

[RI]

Is anyone working on Florida?

I'm real curious.

There's a map of Florida on page 4.

[Confused Democrat]

Is anyone working on Florida?

I'm real curious.

There's a map of Florida on page 4.

Thanks, but I should have been more specific.

I meant a swing map.

[catographer]

Like you did with the Virginia map, could you please provide a higher-quality North Carolina? Thank you!

[Tender Branson]

Amazing work you did there realisticidealist.

Now plz put together a US-wide precinct map of all the states you did so far ...

(I guess this would be the first of its kind ever)

BTW: How many states are still missing, where there's no precinct map yet.

PS: On the CO map, what are the few white and grey areas ? Something is probably a tie, but what is the other ?

[RI]

Now plz put together a US-wide precinct map of all the states you did so far ...

This and more is coming soon. Very soon.

[Crumpets]

Now plz put together a US-wide precinct map of all the states you did so far ...

This and more is coming soon. Very soon.

Better interest-grabber than Maddow's tweet. I look forward to it.

[Intell]

In regards to South Boston, 56.6% have less than high school degree, so it's still a working class seat by in large, why did it swing to Clinton so heavily?

[RI]

Now plz put together a US-wide precinct map of all the states you did so far ...

This and more is coming soon. Very soon.

Better interest-grabber than Maddow's tweet. I look forward to it.

Looks like Tuesday's going to be a big day.

In regards to South Boston, 56.6% have less than high school degree, so it's still a working class seat by in large, why did it swing to Clinton so heavily?

Uh, all the areas near and in Boston with lower than average education levels swung toward Trump. The actual neighborhood of South Boston has been thoroughly gentrified by young, educated professionals and actually pretty well off now.

[Classic Conservative]

In regards to South Boston, 56.6% have less than high school degree, so it's still a working class seat by in large, why did it swing to Clinton so heavily?

Southie now, ain't the Southie that it was in the 70's.