Rasmussen

[Alcon]

I was just going through the polling for Gubernatorial and Senatorial races to update my predictions, and looking at Rasmussen really worries me.  In a lot of states, they are the odd man out in predicting Democratic victories.  In fact, in most instances, his one-day polls are finding results that are distressingly conflicted with other polls, mostly in the Dem's favour.

While Rasmussen does have a history of slight Republican lean, I've never seen Scotty move around this much.  This one-day polling is really bothering me and, despite good 2004 results, I'm having trouble trusting Rasmussen - a shame, since they are so prolific.

Any comments on this?

[Alcon]

Rasmussen totally blew the 2000 election.

I did trust that they "fixed" things before 2000 and 2004.  But my question is, what broke?

[Alcon]

Hmm, very interesting stuff.  What is it that Mason-Dixon does that gives such perpetually stable results?

[Alcon]

I think Rasmussen may have done better than M-D in 2006, amusingly enough.