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May 25, 2024, 06:40:35 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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 1 
 on: Today at 06:37:36 AM 
Started by Obama24 - Last post by President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
No, I'm fine with Delaware having everything named after him.

 2 
 on: Today at 06:37:28 AM 
Started by Obama24 - Last post by Obama24
Some on this board here have discussed the idea of there being "2019 nostalgia", which might enable a Trump win.

I think there is actually a degree of this out there in the real world, too. I have nostalgia for 2019 but I recgonize that the economy of the Trump era was built by Obama, Trump just rode the wave of it, but your average voter doesn't realize that.

Back in 2016 however, despite a healthy economy, and despite Hillary being the First Lady during the bulk of the 90s, there was no similar nostalgia for the 90s at that time (ironically, there is massive 90s nostalgia now) that could've helped her pull ahead to victory.

My question is, why?

Having 2019 nostalgia now would be like having 2011 nostalgia in 2016 and that certainly wasn't there.

 3 
 on: Today at 06:37:28 AM 
Started by Harry Hayfield - Last post by TheTide

 4 
 on: Today at 06:35:59 AM 
Started by sg0508 - Last post by Umengus
With their dwindling ability to expand their base, as well as ignoring younger voting blocks (completing losing the Millennials and not doing much to attract Gen Z), as I've been thinking for the last decade, everything has to go right and Democrats have to literally self-destruct for the GOP to win.

One could make the argument that in 2020 (outside of Covid), Trump may have won again given the economy at that time, although far from certain.

Does anyone just have "that feeling" that the stars are aligning again this year? Everything from the economy, inflation, Biden's age, the wars abroad, student protests, voter apathy, Harris, cost of living, etc. is just making a lot of people desperate, angry and vulnerable.

I've been saying for several months now (as have others on here) that the Democrats (like it or not), MUST use abortion as their driving force to ensure women and young voters show up to vote. It worked in 2022, it worked in "pocket", one-off elections since, including 2023, and I believe it's the key for 2024.

There's been signs in the last month that talking about Dobbs again re-energized some and moved the polls towards Biden.

Thoughts? are the stars just aligning, too early to tell, or total nonsense?

in 2022, Gop won the "national vote" by 3 (I think) so abortion not so effective (but I agree that it gives them a few points) and, at the presidential level, with much larger turnout, it won't be enough to save Biden

 5 
 on: Today at 06:35:58 AM 
Started by OSR stands with Israel - Last post by Brittain33
A big tragedy in all of this is that Bibi has been synonymous with Israel for the majority of many of our lives. It's why many people assume Israel will always act like it has under his disastrous leadership - untrue - and why people feel compelled to defend things like his failed, intractable, scorched-earth war strategy.


Israel’s government was terrible far before Bibi or Likud were in power, as a simple understanding of Israeli history would tell you.

Is your argument that the situation hasn't changed for the worse regarding settlements in the West Bank since Netanyahu came to power? I suppose Israel's government is always going to seem terrible to people who find the country illegitimate, if that describes your beliefs.

The Israeli government, since 1967, has shown little commitment to a long term solution, and seems to be banking on Western support to do whatever it wants in the mean time.

Have you heard of Yitzhak Rabin, what he achieved and why he was assassinated? If not, I agree that one’s understanding of Israeli history can be described as “simple.”

 6 
 on: Today at 06:32:36 AM 
Started by Obama24 - Last post by President Punxsutawney Phil
Nah.

 7 
 on: Today at 06:31:25 AM 
Started by Obama24 - Last post by President Punxsutawney Phil
No

 8 
 on: Today at 06:29:26 AM 
Started by Obama24 - Last post by Obama24
?

 9 
 on: Today at 06:28:52 AM 
Started by DPKdebator - Last post by politicallefty
Ideally, I'd say a quarter million. However, as noted above, a significantly larger House would require a larger restructuring of the government.

Without a major restructuring, I've long been a proponent of the cube root rule.

Wyoming rule isn’t a good idea because of how much population fluctuations in the smallest state change the national picture. You could have sudden large increases or decreases in the house size between decades.

CRR is clearly the way to go.

Indeed. This is why the Wyoming Rule is a bad idea (or during some of that time period, the Nevada Rule). Imagine if we granted Guam statehood and therefore had the Guam Rule (the House would be over 1900 Members).

 10 
 on: Today at 06:28:27 AM 
Started by 2016 - Last post by LAKISYLVANIA
Biden isn't losing PA with Bob Casey Jr okay

Nobody cares about Bob Casey Jr.

And this result basically guarantees Casey would be re-elected as he's guaranteed to outperform Biden.


We just had polls last week that had Biden leading in PA



Fake news

and even if true, still cherrypicking

And besides, haven't said biden cannot win PA.

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