Potential UK General Election Late 2016 / Early 2017

[Zinneke]

Really hoping for a LibDem resurgence.

lol

The Tory brand is no longer moderate and moderates are what swing the key constuecies.

The LibDems will probably have a strong vote share.

[Zinneke]

Provided they have reasonably competent leadership, I can't see how the Tories don't ride this result a very strong Majority Government. The Conservative Party has already proven that it can get a majority from just England and Wales. As someone that mostly supports Labour, I don't see much cause for optimism. With Scotland gone to the SNP, it's hard to see how Labour can even win a hung Parliament. To put it in American terms, it's almost like having California voting solely for an independence party. (In 2012, without California, Romney would have won with Florida and just 7 other electoral votes while still losing the nationwide popular vote by about 2 million votes.)

There's no way that ordinary swing-voter people don't punish the Tories for not having a coherent plan after Brexit. I base that off them only having a 10-seat majority.

[Zinneke]

I fail to see why a general election this early is neccessary.

Because only 100 MPs in Westminster were elected believing they would exit the EU. THe Brexiteers themselves have no idea what to do. A general election would at least allow the parties to lay out their plans for Brexit. Right now its down to the Conservative Party Leadership election, a party with just a 10-seat majority in danger of entering civil war.

Labour and Conservatives should really split now.