Wales 2007; results thread
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #50 on: May 03, 2007, 09:33:53 PM »
Plaid gain Llanelli; not even close, despite a decent Labour %. LibDem polled under 4%!
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #51 on: May 03, 2007, 09:39:57 PM »
Labour hold Delyn, Labour hold Newport West
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Verily
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« Reply #52 on: May 03, 2007, 09:40:20 PM »
Lab hold Delyn and Newport West against strong Con challenges.

Con hold Monmouth. No surprise.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #53 on: May 03, 2007, 09:43:07 PM »
IWJ wins in Ynys Mon. Rogers couldn't crush the Labour and Tory votes as much as he needed.
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Verily
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« Reply #54 on: May 03, 2007, 09:46:16 PM »
Quote from: Free Alan! on May 03, 2007, 09:43:07 PM
IWJ wins in Ynys Mon. Rogers couldn't crush the Labour and Tory votes as much as he needed.

Indeed, he only really crushed the Tory vote. The Labour vote's decline fits with Wales' overall trend.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #55 on: May 03, 2007, 09:48:37 PM »
Quote from: Verily on May 03, 2007, 09:46:16 PM
Quote from: Free Alan! on May 03, 2007, 09:43:07 PM
IWJ wins in Ynys Mon. Rogers couldn't crush the Labour and Tory votes as much as he needed.

Indeed, he only really crushed the Tory vote. The Labour vote's decline fits with Wales' overall trend.

And that's with a Cardiff based lawyer running for us! I'm surprised that he did as well as he did actually...
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Verily
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« Reply #56 on: May 03, 2007, 10:02:49 PM »
Lab hold Gower narrowly.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #57 on: May 03, 2007, 10:04:19 PM »

Turnout in the working class parts of that seat (Gower is socially polarised, and then some) was dire apparently.
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Verily
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« Reply #58 on: May 03, 2007, 10:19:43 PM »
Plaid hold Carmarthen East & Dinefwr; LDs hold Brecon and Radnorshire.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #59 on: May 03, 2007, 10:24:43 PM »
Tories gain Preseli Pembroke
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #60 on: May 03, 2007, 10:30:36 PM »
There are reports that Labour has taken Wrexham
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Cubby
Pim Fortuyn
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« Reply #61 on: May 03, 2007, 10:34:39 PM »
Has anything been heard yet from Brecon and Radnorshire? I used to know someone who lived there.

He had a sweatshirt that said "Swansea" on it and said "cheers" a lot. He didn't like it when the other Brits called him taffy.
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Verily
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« Reply #62 on: May 03, 2007, 10:35:29 PM »
Quote from: Tobias Beecher on May 03, 2007, 10:34:39 PM
Has anything been heard yet from Brecon and Radnorshire? I used to know someone who lived there.

He had a sweatshirt that said "Swansea" on it and said "cheers" a lot. He didn't like it when the other Brits called him taffy.

LD hold. B&R is an LD (really more Liberal) fortress.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #63 on: May 03, 2007, 10:38:27 PM »
And Rhondda is in... swing just 3%. So... how long until the words "Leighton4Leader" hit teh interwebs?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #64 on: May 03, 2007, 10:46:14 PM »
Labour gain Wrexham. I suspect that Griffiths will have the honour of the lowest winning percentage... 28.8%!
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Harry Hayfield
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« Reply #65 on: May 03, 2007, 11:02:24 PM »
Wales South East Divisors (following 8 constituency declarations)

Con regional vote / 2 (Monmouth + 1)
Lab regional vote / 7 (Caerphilly, Islwyn, Merthyr Tydfil, Newport East, Newport West, Torfaen + 1)
Lib Dem regional vote / 1 (No constituencies + 1)
Plaid regional vote / 1 (No constituencies +1)
Green regional vote / 1
BNP regional vote / 1
Communist regional vote / 1
English Democrat regional vote / 1
Independent regional vote / 1
Socialist Labour regional vote / 1
United Kingdom Independence Party regional vote / 1
Welsh Christian Party regional party / 1

My guess: Lib Dem win the first seat, Plaid win the second seat, Con win the third seat, Lib Dem win the fourth seat
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Verily
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« Reply #66 on: May 03, 2007, 11:09:27 PM »
Con gain Cardiff North.
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The Man From G.O.P.
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« Reply #67 on: May 03, 2007, 11:56:32 PM »
« Edited: May 03, 2007, 11:59:38 PM by Senator TN2024 »
While still pathetic, the Conservatives have to feel good about Wales, they took one Cardiff seat, gained back SW, and are really very close to getting those NE areas, while it doesn't mean it will translate into MPs in a General election, it's a good start in what looked beyond hopeless not too long ago.

EDIT: yeah, I know they didn't get second place, but we'el get there.

EDIT 2: just picked up Clwyd West, very close in Vale of Clwyd, we'el get there, we'el get there.
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Harry Hayfield
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« Reply #68 on: May 04, 2007, 12:23:38 AM »
Wales North Declaration:

Con 50,266 / 2 = 25,133
Lab 51,831 / 6 = 8,639
LibDem 15,275 / 1 = 15,275
PC 50,558 / 4 = 12,640

Con 2, Lab 0, Lib Dem 1, PC 1
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #69 on: May 04, 2007, 12:30:20 AM »
Labour hold Bridgend and Ogmore. Funny... in Bridgend, despite constant reports of Carwyn's electoral demise, there was barely a swing from 2003!

Anyways, only the Vale of Glamorgan to go now. And the list seats.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #70 on: May 04, 2007, 12:56:04 AM »
Hutt has hung on in the Vale! Thank St Asaph, eh? Wink
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Cubby
Pim Fortuyn
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« Reply #71 on: May 04, 2007, 01:11:17 AM »
Quote from: Verily on May 03, 2007, 10:35:29 PM
Quote from: Tobias Beecher on May 03, 2007, 10:34:39 PM
Has anything been heard yet from Brecon and Radnorshire? I used to know someone who lived there.

He had a sweatshirt that said "Swansea" on it and said "cheers" a lot. He didn't like it when the other Brits called him taffy.

LD hold. B&R is an LD (really more Liberal) fortress.

Thats good. Better LD than Tory.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #72 on: May 04, 2007, 01:28:51 AM »
Quote from: Tobias Beecher on May 04, 2007, 01:11:17 AM
Quote from: Verily on May 03, 2007, 10:35:29 PM
Quote from: Tobias Beecher on May 03, 2007, 10:34:39 PM
Has anything been heard yet from Brecon and Radnorshire? I used to know someone who lived there.

He had a sweatshirt that said "Swansea" on it and said "cheers" a lot. He didn't like it when the other Brits called him taffy.

LD hold. B&R is an LD (really more Liberal) fortress.

Thats good. Better LD than Tory.

You talk as though there's any difference between the two in Mid Wales Wink
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #73 on: May 04, 2007, 01:31:53 AM »
A map:



I decided to go concentrate on spotting the close races, as opposed to the more mixed thing I usually go for. In low turnout elections it probably makes more sense anyhow (though the usual sort of map will also be made at some point).
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Cubby
Pim Fortuyn
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« Reply #74 on: May 04, 2007, 01:36:50 AM »
Quote from: Free Alan! on May 04, 2007, 01:28:51 AM
Quote from: Tobias Beecher on May 04, 2007, 01:11:17 AM
Quote from: Verily on May 03, 2007, 10:35:29 PM
LD hold. B&R is an LD (really more Liberal) fortress.

Thats good. Better LD than Tory.

You talk as though there's any difference between the two in Mid Wales Wink

When the party is called the "Liberal Democrats", to American ears (or eyes in this case) then it has to be left wing. I keep forgetting that they aren't always that way.
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