Puerto Rico Democratic primary results discussion thread

[Meeker]

So Obama should do well in San Juan, and not so well everywhere else? Is that the best guess at this point?

[Meeker]

Turnout appears to not be universally low - it depends on which part of the island you're on. Here's a summary of how the different regions should apparently vote (NOTE: From a person affiliated with the Clinton campaign)

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Yea, you read that last part right. Election fraud!

[Meeker]

The prisoner vote, less than 10,000 total, broke 2:1 for Clinton

[Meeker]

John Roberts is a poorman's John King.   

I think he's getting married to Dana Bash this weekend, so I'll let it slide. He better be back on Tuesday though.

[Meeker]

Reports of Mayor- induced voter problems from Carolina now...

[Meeker]

Reports of Mayor- induced voter problems from Carolina now...

Any details?  I have no idea of the significance of that offhand

Neither do I... just that he's causing longer lines.

[Meeker]

Interestingly, the PPD (Clinton-endorsing party) is strongest in San Juan and the college town I can't spell...normally Obama's best demographics.  I wonder how that will play.

Isn't the Governor PPD and endorsed Obama?

[Meeker]

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Polls have to stay open as long as people are in line. We could be delayed quite a bit.

[Meeker]

Blitzer kind of sounds like he's going to make a projection

[Meeker]

Depending on what she decides to do in her future, this could be the last election Hillary Clinton ever wins.

[Meeker]

More males than females voting in the primary - is that the first race that's happened in this year?

[Meeker]

CNN says 325,000 to 425,000

[Meeker]

CNN says 325,000 to 425,000

I'm guessing that's turnout, not margin.

Correct. My bad

[Meeker]

Terry McAuliffe:  "Every poll shows Clinton beating McCain, and Obama losing to McCain"

Bulls**t.

Yea, I yelled at my screen on that one.

[Meeker]

Puerto Rico hand counts FYI.

They also may need to some, err, "adjustments" to the results before they release them. Just to assure accuracy of course.

[Meeker]

They've adjusted the exit polls, and Blitzer and Schneider just gave some excuse about them that they could be wrong or something.

[Meeker]

They've adjusted the exit polls, and Blitzer and Schneider just gave some excuse about them that they could be wrong or something.

They were talking about the New Hampshire exit polling being correct while pre-election polling was wrong.

CNN has done their standard post-close tweak (I still don't understand why they do that) to 69-31 Clinton.

Ah.

[Meeker]

Delegate allocation will also be easy for us thanks to CNN's maps having districts equivalent to the delegate allocation districts.

[Meeker]

CNN had some numbers from San Juan which then got retracted. Weird.

They weren't accurate, we had to fix them!

Have some asopao and don't think about it

[Meeker]

You also have to keep in mind that turnout is of all voters. If we had turnout numbers for primaries and included every voter registered - independent and Republicans - we'd have a lot lower turnout on the mainland as well.

Still, that is rather low.

[Meeker]

You also have to keep in mind that turnout is of all voters. If we had turnout numbers for primaries and included every voter registered - independent and Republicans - we'd have a lot lower turnout on the mainland as well.

Still, that is rather low.

but aren't indepedents and republican eligible to vote in this?

They don't have Republicans, but yes.

[Meeker]

People are still voting on some parts of the Island.

[Meeker]

People are still voting on some parts of the Island.

Hour-long lines? 

That's what they're saying. Apparently there was a huge last minute surge.

[Meeker]

*Apparently* how it works is that olds vote in the morning before they go to church, while youngs and poors vote later in the day as they sleep in, eat, and then head out for activities.

[Meeker]

*Apparently* how it works is that olds vote in the morning before they go to church, while youngs and poors vote later in the day as they sleep in, eat, and then head out for activities.

So...who would that benefit? Young people indicate Obama but poor and not that interested in voting would indicate Clinton.

The exit polling doesn't really have a significant difference depending on income level though. There also doesn't seem to be that much data on young people.

So basically, I have no idea.