If: Mike Beebe runs for Senate in 2016, while Boozman faces a Tea Party challenger or two and a moderate challenger in the primaries. Tea Partier and businessman Curtis Coleman runs an independent campaign , and he garners five to ten percent in most polls. Beebe wins 47-46-7.
From here, Marco Rubio is elected President in 2016, and a minor recession occurs from 2017-2018. Blanche Lincoln is elected Governor in 2018 as Rubio's approval rating in Arkansas hits 45-51, and 43-52 nationwide. Lincoln wins 49-47. While it recovers some by January 2020, it is still 49-46 in Arkansas and 45-50 nationwide.
Senator Brian Schatz runs and wins the nomination after a contested primary fight against Senator Julian Castro, Governor Blanche Lincoln, Representative Jared Polis, and a few fairly minor others. He picks Blanche Lincoln as his running-mate.
On Election Day, 2020, Rubio's approval rating is 47-48 in Arkansas and 46-49 nationwide.
297: Senator Brian Schatz(D-HI)/Governor Blanche Lincoln(D-AR) - 50.1%
241: President Marco Rubio(R-FL)/Governor Ed Gillespie(R-VA)- 48.7%
Other: 1.1%
This is the most absurd thing I have seen in my time on Atlas.
