MO/NV/NH/NC/PA/WI - PPP: Clinton leads in NV, NH, NC, PA, WI; Trump leads in MO (user search)
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  MO/NV/NH/NC/PA/WI - PPP: Clinton leads in NV, NH, NC, PA, WI; Trump leads in MO (search mode)
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Author Topic: MO/NV/NH/NC/PA/WI - PPP: Clinton leads in NV, NH, NC, PA, WI; Trump leads in MO  (Read 2510 times)
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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Posts: 22,922
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« on: November 04, 2016, 10:30:34 AM »

That looks about right and confirms, what I’ve been saying for a while: There is no realistic path for the Trumpster to the magic 270. He’s just not going to win. His ceiling his 220 EVs; maybe he even falls below Romney (2012-NC).
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,922
United States



« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2016, 11:09:23 AM »

Trump is doing much better in Pennsylvania than I had ever imagined. He should spend every waking moment in PA, FL, and NC this week with and blast a bit in Ohio too. That's the only path. NV is not happening so it makes NH not worth it.

PA is Fool’s Gold for the Republicans. They targeted the state in all previous elections, especially in 2012, but it didn’t work out. You could argue that Mr. Drumpf’s message is different from previous nominees and more appealing to some Rust Belt voters. Nevertheless, with these devastating numbers among college-educated suburban voters, women in particular, he has a only a very tiny chance to take the state. PA flipping Republican this election is just not happening. And quite frankly, I think it won’t be even as close as expected. Hillary is going to win by at least five points, probably as much as seven or eight. Keep also in mind that he did not lead a single poll in PA for a couple of months now. And as you correctly pointed out, another realistic path to 270 EVs is just not there for the Trumpster.
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