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My prediction is consistent with a narrow Biden victory and feeling better than pre sotu

Almost no doubt. And both sides (more so the Dems) will flush millions of dollars of taxpayer money again in doing so.

It doesn't take much for a cult leader to "charm" their legions of suckers.

This is not worthy of a thread.

He has a good chance here. Biden is expanding the map in the wrong direction.

He will absolutely do something deserving of it.

Either Americans are just plain tired of Trump, if he loses, and Biden is acceptable enough.

Or, charisma and luck is all that matters for a Democratic incumbent if Biden loses.

Better. He wouldn't be flip-flopping on Gaza, and he turns out the base. If Biden loses this election it'll be because his own base can't bother voting for him.

Can we not sleepwalk into lwtting thus guy back into power,please!?

You have to take everything he says, no matter how exaggerated, at face value. He's a madmanand like his first term, even the lowest, worst expectations possible will not be an exaggeration.

Trump. Not only is Biden going to lose, he's trying to lose.

What makes you think that he is trying to lose?
Why would he want Trump to win?

He's flip-flopping on Israel/Gaza instead of taking a position and sticking to it. It might be a lose-lose situation, but he's managing to infuriate both sides. As to why he wants Trump to win, I'm not entirely sure - that's the main hole. Maybe he doesn't want to deliver what his base wants. But if he didn't want to be President anymore, he shouldn't have run for reelection.

Somewhere between too early and too close.

I've kind of finally been beaten down enough where I am getting concerned...at least somewhat. In five months a lot already happened, and a lot more is still coming around the corner where Biden still shouldn't be written off, and Trump shouldn't be considered a shoo-in.

I will maintain that Trump does not win the popular vote or win in anywhere near a landslide. He only wins due to third parties or an enthusiasm gap-much like 2016. Hell, I don't even think he wins the rust belt trio-if at all-by more than a point from his 2016 margins.