ND-R2k/Kos - Dorgan strong against Hoeven

[Lunar]

             Favorable  Unfavorable  No Opinion
Dorgan (D)      67         30          3
Hoeven (R)      68         27          5



Dorgan (D) 57
Hoeven (R) 35

http://dailykos.com/storyonly/2009/2/13/05945/6966/749/696931

[Lunar]

Especially amazing considering Hoeven is....what....enjoying like a 75% approval rating?

I think Hoeven is likely to take this seat.  I hope not.  But he'll be exceptionally strong and North Dakota Democrats have been tempting fate for far too long.  I do think Hoeven would have a much better chance at Conrad's seat.  But Dorgan would be a fool to consider himself safe.

I don't think Hoeven has shown any interest in going to DC in 2010.

[Lunar]

Especially amazing considering Hoeven is....what....enjoying like a 75% approval rating?

I think Hoeven is likely to take this seat.  I hope not.  But he'll be exceptionally strong and North Dakota Democrats have been tempting fate for far too long.  I do think Hoeven would have a much better chance at Conrad's seat.  But Dorgan would be a fool to consider himself safe.

I don't think Hoeven has shown any interest in going to DC in 2010.

I hope you're right.  If true, that would be Hoeven-ly news.  <cough>

JS, why do you think he wants the most competitive race of his career (as of now, he'd be fighting an uphill battle) so that he can be a severe minority in Congress?

[Lunar]

All you said in that last post was that Dorgan could potentially, possibly, in some scenario, be vulnerable sir.  The original post said that we're likely looking at Senator Hoeven in 2011

You make two giant leaps in logic (and didn't really answer my question):

1. Hoeven wants to run, and is willing to be away from his family, be part of a semi-powerless minority, risk political embarrassment by giving up a safe seat  for what now looks to be an uphill battle against the stronger of his state's two seantors - you didn't answer that part of my question.  I mean, it's more than possible, but it seems a pretty ridic working assumption

Hoeven hasn't given as firm of an indication as Douglas, Rell, or Lynch that he won't run, but he's certainly not looking like he wants to o to DC this next cycle.

(2. and Hoeven is likely to win should he run  - I guess that's your opinion and that's fine)