Predict the Previous Poster's Result in the Preceding County. (user search)
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  Predict the Previous Poster's Result in the Preceding County. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Predict the Previous Poster's Result in the Preceding County.  (Read 61229 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #25 on: April 13, 2018, 07:14:09 PM »
You said you would pick British or Italian nationality if you could, also you would be surprised by the number of hardcore social conservatives in exurbs and suburbs. I think these qualities would make you a weak candidate in Allegheny county. Maybe a 3% hometown boost to 55% then.

So, again, Scott county VA?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #26 on: May 04, 2018, 12:58:10 AM »
62%.

Cameron Parish Louisiana?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #27 on: May 12, 2018, 04:48:32 PM »
39%.

Noxubee County Ms?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #28 on: May 20, 2018, 12:16:32 PM »
37%.

Carter county TN?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #29 on: May 31, 2018, 08:52:54 PM »
84%

Harrison county Ohio?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #30 on: June 05, 2018, 03:26:04 AM »

58% as a dem

39.3% as a republican

Buchanan county VA?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #31 on: June 06, 2018, 03:10:56 AM »
2.1% as a green.

Logan county AR?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #32 on: June 13, 2018, 12:57:16 PM »
58%.

Scott County VA?

I would run a very Mark Warner '14 type campaign. Ignore NOVA and go big for AA turnout in Bobby's cd, and margin reduction in Griffith's.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #33 on: June 14, 2018, 01:19:22 AM »
Quote from: Massguy, final version on June 13, 2018, 01:13:33 PM
Quote from: Bagel23 on June 13, 2018, 12:57:16 PM
58%.

Scott County VA?

I would run a very Mark Warner '14 type campaign. Ignore NOVA and go big for AA turnout in Bobby's cd, and margin reduction in Griffith's.
And you almost lose the race as a result? If so, good.

Haha, funny, I would win Virginia with the demographics present today, amd especially in this environment in a GE though.

Anways, what would I get in Scott County Virginia running the race I described?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #34 on: June 24, 2018, 02:54:22 PM »
56%

Kanawha County WV?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #35 on: July 01, 2018, 12:41:25 PM »
« Edited: July 01, 2018, 04:22:31 PM by Bagel23 »
54%

Ochiltree County TX?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #36 on: July 07, 2018, 12:42:51 AM »
4% as a libertarian, 53% as a Republican.

Logan County WV? I would have a rally and bbq on the last wednesday before the election here with Richard Ojeda by getting the DNC to book the Logan County HS football field and open the whole thing up for a massive rally. Main stumping points would be pro life, pro coal, pro weed, anti opioid, railings against modern corruption of the moral fabric of our society, and the exploitation of the working class.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #37 on: August 26, 2018, 03:09:21 PM »
48%

Campbell County WY?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #38 on: September 06, 2018, 12:46:47 AM »
59% as a Republican, 36% as a dem.

Clark County Arkansas?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #39 on: September 12, 2018, 12:41:43 AM »
48% as a dem

Trinity County TX?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #40 on: September 19, 2018, 01:22:19 AM »
56%.

Columbiana County Ohio?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #41 on: September 21, 2018, 11:22:51 PM »
47%.

Roberts County TX?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #42 on: October 01, 2018, 11:55:15 PM »
« Edited: October 01, 2018, 11:58:44 PM by Prolocutor Bagel23 »
35% as a GOPer 69% as a dem, really good fit for this county.

Grant Co WV?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #43 on: October 07, 2018, 10:10:08 PM »
57% as a dem

40% as a GOPer

Catahoula Parish Louisiana?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #44 on: October 22, 2018, 11:24:06 PM »
« Edited: October 23, 2018, 08:17:38 AM by Prolocutor Bagel23 »
53%.

Cherokee County NC?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #45 on: October 28, 2018, 01:34:46 AM »
57% as the true Republican you are.

Alexander Co IL?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #46 on: November 03, 2018, 06:06:46 PM »
53%

Swisher County TX?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #47 on: November 18, 2018, 02:52:50 AM »
54%.

Stephens County GA?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #48 on: December 07, 2018, 08:34:21 PM »
51% as a dem

46% as a republican

Cimarron County OK?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #49 on: December 11, 2018, 06:44:58 PM »
51% as a dem, you are a bad fit, but you'd still eek through given how well Katie Porter did and the times are changing and getting more partisan.

Monongalia county WV?
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