What would your 2006 U.S. Senate strategy be? (user search)
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  What would your 2006 U.S. Senate strategy be? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What would your 2006 U.S. Senate strategy be?  (Read 11097 times)
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,791


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: January 26, 2005, 01:05:55 AM »
« edited: January 26, 2005, 01:08:01 AM by jfern »

Virginia
If Mark Warner runs, he's a tax hiking liberal. Tie him to the national Democrats and watch him sink.

Hawaii
Incumbent likely to retire. Run the Republican governor, if she isn't running for reelection; I'm not aware of any other good candidates.

West Virginia
If Byrd dies/retires, focus on guns and gay marriage, and maybe send Bush in there for some campaigning.

Rhode Island
Incumbency factor

New York
If Giuliani does not run, sit back, relax, and enjoy losing. If he does: Hillary = carpetbagger.

New Jersey
Incumbent may win gubernatorial election. A Dem would be appointed to fill the vacancy. That person would only be in office for a short period of time, so we don't have to worry about an incumbent. Just get a strong candidate.

Minnesota
Tim Pawlenty would be good, but he'll probably run for reelection. Anyway, run on the incumbent's lackluster Senate record, and maybe that closing Capitol Hill office thing.

California
If Feinstein runs against Arnold, we have no incumbent. Dems are still favored, of course. Run, I dunno, McClintock (sp?) maybe?

Tennessee
Tie opposition to national Democrats

Vermont
Hope the Dems run an opponent to split the vote; run a Republican governor or something

Mississippi
Lott may or may not serve another term. If he doesn't, attack the national Democrats.

Nebraska
This Nelson guy is good, so maybe get him to switch parties. Otherwise, just run a strong candidate, I guess. He's not very vulnerable except for being a Dem in a very Republican state.

Florida
The bad Nelson. Hope Jeb runs; he probably won't, in that case, I don't know who the best candidate would be.

Washington
One word: Rossi

Virginia: Too late, he already won rural aras

Rhode Island: He's down 20 points against one Democrat

New York:, and so was the guy who won that seat in 1964 and the guy who won that seat in 1970. Face it, it's the carpetbagger seat.  Maybe you could run Keyes. Anyone but Guilani, and it's a landslide. Guilani will make it be a close race before he loses.

California: She's much more conservative than Boxer, who just won by 20 points, you can't beat her.

Vermont: Just look at the Vermont house races. Sanders wins landslides even when a Democrat runs.

Nebraska: He's quite conservative, but there's no reason for him to switch.

Washington: Gore campainging for her, and Rossi is toast.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,791


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #1 on: January 26, 2005, 02:39:46 AM »

Guiliani would beat Hillary.  Hands down.  Clinton may be an incumbent now, but Guiliani is Guiliani now.

Guilani is very beatable in NY.
What's not going to go over well:
1. His campaigning for Bush
2. His saying that the missing explosives was the fault of the soldiers
3. His pal Kerik's closet full of skeletons
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,791


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #2 on: January 27, 2005, 10:38:36 PM »

Poor Guilani - He's too socially liberal for the national Republicans, and NY is too Democratic for him to win.  He'd make it an interesting race before losing, though.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,791


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #3 on: January 30, 2005, 06:31:21 AM »

Poor Guilani - He's too socially liberal for the national Republicans, and NY is too Democratic for him to win.  He'd make it an interesting race before losing, though.

So why are there polls out showing he'd beat Hillary by five points?

Same reason that there were polls with Hillary and Lazio tied.
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