Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,112
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« on: June 30, 2016, 03:05:02 PM » |
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My analysis:
Nevada: This would be great news for Republicans! It's a left leaning poll, and while the presidential race is tied, Heck outperforming Cortez Masto is good.
Arizona: Looks like fool's gold as usual.
Pennsylvania: See Nevada (minus the presidential race being tied).
Ohio: As I suspected, Strickland has potential to outperform Clinton, and Trump/Strickland voters are not too hard to imagine.
New Hampshire: Fool's gold for Republicans.
North Carolina: I suspect this is totally junk. I can't imagine Clinton leading by that much, unless rural whites are breaking for her, and/or Never Trump Republicans are still unhappy with the Donald. I also can't imagine that many undecideds in the Senate race, especially since there aren't nearly as many in the presidential race.
Wisconsin: Far more undecideds in the presidential race than on the Senate race. I suspect the Republicans are all fully set on Johnson, and that 45 or 46 is his ceiling. The state is very polarized, but I think nearly all undecideds will break for Feingold. Johnson won't lose by double digits, but Republican groups are right to write him off.
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