2014: Midterms, Presidential Contests and beyond

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Chris: And now we have a few more closely-watched races coming in. Tonight is a good night to have the last name "Brown." Both former Senators Sherrod Brown and Scott Brown have successfully made political comebacks.

In Ohio, Democratic Governor Ted Strickland was term-limited. Despite Brown's loss in 2012, Ohio Republicans have become increasingly unpopular. While Governor Strickland leaves office with an lukewarm 41/45 approval rating, Ohioans give the Republican Legislative Majority a dismal 32/51 rating. Those numbers translated into an uphill battle for Republican nominee Josh Mandel. While Mandel did well in the west, Brown but together a coalition of the urban north and Appalachian east to win.

Rachel: And in my state of Massachusetts, we will have a new Governor. Governor Duval Patrick forewent a 3rd term in favoring of becoming the new DNC Chairman. While Scott Brown was voted out of his Senate seat in 2012, polls showed that Bay State voters still viewed him favorably. Brown built a geographic coalition similar to that of his 2010 Senate upset. Lieutenant Governor Tim Murray will be losing this race by about 6 points.

Also, very popular Senator John Kerry went unopposed.

Strickland lost to John Kasich in 2010.

[Incipimus iterum]

he made changes to some elections in 2010 in his Tl

[morgieb]

Chris: And now we have a few more closely-watched races coming in. Tonight is a good night to have the last name "Brown." Both former Senators Sherrod Brown and Scott Brown have successfully made political comebacks.

In Ohio, Democratic Governor Ted Strickland was term-limited. Despite Brown's loss in 2012, Ohio Republicans have become increasingly unpopular. While Governor Strickland leaves office with an lukewarm 41/45 approval rating, Ohioans give the Republican Legislative Majority a dismal 32/51 rating. Those numbers translated into an uphill battle for Republican nominee Josh Mandel. While Mandel did well in the west, Brown but together a coalition of the urban north and Appalachian east to win.

Rachel: And in my state of Massachusetts, we will have a new Governor. Governor Duval Patrick forewent a 3rd term in favoring of becoming the new DNC Chairman. While Scott Brown was voted out of his Senate seat in 2012, polls showed that Bay State voters still viewed him favorably. Brown built a geographic coalition similar to that of his 2010 Senate upset. Lieutenant Governor Tim Murray will be losing this race by about 6 points.

Also, very popular Senator John Kerry went unopposed.

Strickland lost to John Kasich in 2010.

Yeah he gave Lincoln and Strickland wins instead of their real opponents.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

And their names are Don Carcieri and Lincoln Chafee.  You called them by the wrong names.

[Miles]

Yes, I saved Blanche Lincoln and Ted Strickland by a few hundred votes each.

I think I referred to Lincoln Chafee as Lincoln Davis; I think Julio pointed that out a few months ago.

[Miles]

I'll have to update tomorrow...I'm at the beach and I have very erratic WiFi; I didn't accomplish as much as I planned to today.

[Jerseyrules]

I'll have to update tomorrow...I'm at the beach and I have very erratic WiFi; I didn't accomplish as much as I planned to today.

Take your time

[Miles]

JINDAL, WARNER JUMP OUT TO EARLY LEAD IN IOWA; HUNTSMAN AND MILLER PERFORM SURPRISINGLY WELL

AP: 39% of precincts reporting:

REPUBLICANS





DEMOCRATS

[Jerseyrules]

Interesting to see how well Huntsman does in Iowa considering how well he did otl.  Looking Forward to more

[Niemeyerite]

Interesting to see how well Huntsman does in Iowa considering how well he did otl.  Looking Forward to more

This.

Miller vs. Huntsman would be the best campaign ever.

[Jerseyrules]

Interesting to see how well Huntsman does in Iowa considering how well he did otl.  Looking Forward to more

This.

Miller vs. Huntsman would be the best campaign ever.

Who's Miller?  Is he a favorite of yours?

[Niemeyerite]

Interesting to see how well Huntsman does in Iowa considering how well he did otl.  Looking Forward to more

This.

Miller vs. Huntsman would be the best campaign ever.

Who's Miller?  Is he a favorite of yours?

A progressive democrat congressman from NC, who will not run for reelection this year because of redistricting...

[Miles]

Interesting to see how well Huntsman does in Iowa considering how well he did otl.  Looking Forward to more

This.

Miller vs. Huntsman would be the best campaign ever.

Who's Miller?  Is he a favorite of yours?

A progressive democrat congressman from NC, who will not run for reelection this year because of redistricting...

Yes; here's a bit more background on Miller:

As Julio alluded to, redistricting played a big part in starting (and ending) his Congressional career. Back in 2000, he was the NC State Senator who led the redistricting Committee. Back then, NC gained one seat in the census; he drew the new 13th district for himself. He won 5 terms in Congress and was known for his role as a strong Keynesian voice on the Financial Services Committee; he's also a blogger at the DailyKos.
 
Well, when the Republicans won a majority the NC Legislature in 2010, they controlled redistricting. They turned Miller's 13th from a 59/40 Obama district to a 54/45 McCain one. His other option was to run against Rep. Dave Price, another Democrat, in the redrawn 4th; at 72% Obama, the new 4th was drawn as a Democratic vote sink. Either way, he'd be the underdog, so he just retired. I hear Price may be retiring in a few cycles, so a Miller comeback may be in the cards.

I'm friends with him on my Facebook account (as nerdy as that sounds); we've had a few good conversations about politics.

[Jerseyrules]

Interesting to see how well Huntsman does in Iowa considering how well he did otl.  Looking Forward to more

This.

Miller vs. Huntsman would be the best campaign ever.

Who's Miller?  Is he a favorite of yours?

A progressive democrat congressman from NC, who will not run for reelection this year because of redistricting...

Yes; here's a bit more background on Miller:

As Julio alluded to, redistricting played a big part in starting (and ending) his Congressional career. Back in 2000, he was the NC State Senator who led the redistricting Committee. Back then, NC gained one seat in the census; he drew the new 13th district for himself. He won 5 terms in Congress and was known for his role as a strong Keynesian voice on the Financial Services Committee; he's also a blogger at the DailyKos.
 
Well, when the Republicans won a majority the NC Legislature in 2010, they controlled redistricting. They turned Miller's 13th from a 59/40 Obama district to a 54/45 McCain one. His other option was to run against Rep. Dave Price, another Democrat, in the redrawn 4th; at 72% Obama, the new 4th was drawn as a Democratic vote sink. Either way, he'd be the underdog, so he just retired. I hear Price may be retiring in a few cycles, so a Miller comeback may be in the cards.

I'm friends with him on my Facebook account (as nerdy as that sounds); we've had a few good conversations about politics.

Interesting.  Thanks for the info .

So you're friends with the Congressman on Facebook?  That's pretty cool, I never knew public figures had the time/will to speak with people one-on-one.  I might have to check if Ron Paul's got a Facebook account

[Miles]

65% of precincts reporting:

REPUBLICANS





DEMOCRATS

[FEMA Camp Administrator]

Been far too lazy to follow this. Looks interesting though.

[Miles]

I'll update this later on July 4th.

For now, a shout-out to one of our newer poster, kenyanobama.

I read this post and I thought of my TL:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

For Romney? This poll is overestimating Romney support.

That's why I've been saying Romney needs to pick Gohmert as VP to energize the base. That's the real problem, not independents.

[tmthforu94]

Its crazy, the Democratic party is often considered the party for minorities, yet half of the GOP candidates are minority race, and one is female. In comparison, the Democrats are running 6 men, only one being a minority (and probably towards the bottom of the pack!).

[Miles]

Its crazy, the Democratic party is often considered the party for minorities, yet half of the GOP candidates are minority race, and one is female. In comparison, the Democrats are running 6 men, only one being a minority (and probably towards the bottom of the pack!).

I thought of that too after I picked the candidates. haha

My Republicans are definitely much more diverse.

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

Moderate Dems and Moderate Repubs are much more frequent in Miles's TLs.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Interesting to see how well Huntsman does in Iowa considering how well he did otl.  Looking Forward to more

This.

Miller vs. Huntsman would be the best campaign ever.

Who's Miller?  Is he a favorite of yours?

A progressive democrat congressman from NC, who will not run for reelection this year because of redistricting...

Yes; here's a bit more background on Miller:

As Julio alluded to, redistricting played a big part in starting (and ending) his Congressional career. Back in 2000, he was the NC State Senator who led the redistricting Committee. Back then, NC gained one seat in the census; he drew the new 13th district for himself. He won 5 terms in Congress and was known for his role as a strong Keynesian voice on the Financial Services Committee; he's also a blogger at the DailyKos.
 
Well, when the Republicans won a majority the NC Legislature in 2010, they controlled redistricting. They turned Miller's 13th from a 59/40 Obama district to a 54/45 McCain one. His other option was to run against Rep. Dave Price, another Democrat, in the redrawn 4th; at 72% Obama, the new 4th was drawn as a Democratic vote sink. Either way, he'd be the underdog, so he just retired. I hear Price may be retiring in a few cycles, so a Miller comeback may be in the cards.

I'm friends with him on my Facebook account (as nerdy as that sounds); we've had a few good conversations about politics.

Interesting.  Thanks for the info .

So you're friends with the Congressman on Facebook?  That's pretty cool, I never knew public figures had the time/will to speak with people one-on-one.  I might have to check if Ron Paul's got a Facebook account

His wife does. I tried to add her, but her friend requests were maxed out. I have found Barry Goldwater Jr, Tom Tancredo, and most of the Bush families personal facebooks.

[Jerseyrules]

Interesting to see how well Huntsman does in Iowa considering how well he did otl.  Looking Forward to more

This.

Miller vs. Huntsman would be the best campaign ever.

Who's Miller?  Is he a favorite of yours?

A progressive democrat congressman from NC, who will not run for reelection this year because of redistricting...

Yes; here's a bit more background on Miller:

As Julio alluded to, redistricting played a big part in starting (and ending) his Congressional career. Back in 2000, he was the NC State Senator who led the redistricting Committee. Back then, NC gained one seat in the census; he drew the new 13th district for himself. He won 5 terms in Congress and was known for his role as a strong Keynesian voice on the Financial Services Committee; he's also a blogger at the DailyKos.
 
Well, when the Republicans won a majority the NC Legislature in 2010, they controlled redistricting. They turned Miller's 13th from a 59/40 Obama district to a 54/45 McCain one. His other option was to run against Rep. Dave Price, another Democrat, in the redrawn 4th; at 72% Obama, the new 4th was drawn as a Democratic vote sink. Either way, he'd be the underdog, so he just retired. I hear Price may be retiring in a few cycles, so a Miller comeback may be in the cards.

I'm friends with him on my Facebook account (as nerdy as that sounds); we've had a few good conversations about politics.

Interesting.  Thanks for the info .

So you're friends with the Congressman on Facebook?  That's pretty cool, I never knew public figures had the time/will to speak with people one-on-one.  I might have to check if Ron Paul's got a Facebook account

His wife does. I tried to add her, but her friend requests were maxed out. I have found Barry Goldwater Jr, Tom Tancredo, and most of the Bush families personal facebooks.

Im surprised that they are so open with their personal stuff.

[Jerseyrules]

Who would be more of a fiscal conservative, Cuomo or Warner?  Also, does anyone know Cuomo's positions on gun control?

[Miles]

JINDAL HOLDS ON DESPITE GOHMERT SURGE; WARNER CLINGS TO VICTORY OVER UDALL, MILLER

100% of precincts reporting

Republicans




Democrats

[Jerseyrules]

Cool