CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6

[Jeppe]

Thank god, Sharice Davids is closing the gap in KS-03. She should win at this rate. E-day votes were less of a massacre for her in Wyandotte (36% loss vs 24% loss), and she's increasing her lead in Johnson as e-day votes start trickling in (from 4% to 7% already).

I prefer Schrier in WA-08, and looking at the regional divides (Rittereiser only doing well in his home county, that's almost all reported), Schrier should win.

[Sestak]

wait I forgot WA was top two. Whoops.

[136or142]

WOAH. CMR only beating the Democrat by 0.4 in WA-05...

This was a realistic pickup months ago...

Not according to the pundits. They think it is "likely R."

And they think WA-03, where Dems are currently ahead in the combined D/R vote share, is "safe R." lol

You should have heard the King County online T.V coverage.  "It's not like Lisa Brown even ran to the center.  She ran petty far left.  She even spoke about poverty."

[Sestak]

Also, I am legitimately surprised at the number of Democrats celebrating pretty much a Sarsour clone getting elected to Congress.

[Chief Justice Keef]

Also, I am legitimately surprised at the number of Democrats celebrating pretty much a Sarsour clone getting elected to Congress.

Yes, and?

[Sestak]

Also, I am legitimately surprised at the number of Democrats celebrating pretty much a Sarsour clone getting elected to Congress.

Yes, and?

You legitimately think Linda Sarsour is a good future for the Democratic party?

[Zaybay]

Also, I am legitimately surprised at the number of Democrats celebrating pretty much a Sarsour clone getting elected to Congress.

whats wrong with that?

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS - MO:

U.S. House District 2 »

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Cort VanOstran
40,238   41.5%   
Mark Osmack
24,209   25.0   
Bill Haas
19,097   19.7   
John Messmer
9,515   9.8   
Robert Hazel
3,913   4.0   
96,972 votes, 92% reporting (416 of 450 precincts)

District 4
Libertarian Party Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Mark Bliss
365   56.7%   
Steven Koonse
279   43.3   
644 votes, 95% reporting (344 of 363 precincts)

District 5
Libertarian Party Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Alexander Howell
512   56.3%   
Cisse Spragins
398   43.7   
910 votes, 99% reporting (356 of 360 precincts)

Auditor
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Saundra McDowell
190,474   32.7%   
David Wasinger
155,497   26.7   
Kevin Roach
141,409   24.3   
Paul Curtman
95,493   16.4   
582,873 votes, 97% reporting (3,128 of 3,228 precincts)

Senate
Green Party Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Jo Crain
862   57.6%   
Jerome Bauer
634   42.4   
1,496 votes, 97% reporting (3,128 of 3,228 precincts)

[Zaybay]

Also, I am legitimately surprised at the number of Democrats celebrating pretty much a Sarsour clone getting elected to Congress.

Yes, and?

You legitimately think Linda Sarsour is a good future for the Democratic party?

1 Rep out of the likely 200+ Dems in 2018 wont make a difference. The election of Lamb didnt force the Dems to the center, nor did the election of AOC force them left.

[ON Progressive]

Dems outvoting Republicans 56-43 in MO-02. Caveats about primary turnout, but that seems very strong for Democrats in a seat like MO-02.

[Sestak]

Also, I am legitimately surprised at the number of Democrats celebrating pretty much a Sarsour clone getting elected to Congress.

Yes, and?

You legitimately think Linda Sarsour is a good future for the Democratic party?

1 Rep out of the likely 200+ Dems in 2018 wont make a difference. The election of Lamb didnt force the Dems to the center, nor did the election of AOC force them left.

No, but this has an impact. My father, for example, would be less likely to vote Democratic after this.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS - KS:

District 2
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Steve Watkins
19,319   26.2%   
Caryn Tyson
16,938   23.0   
Kevin Jones
11,580   15.7   
Steve Fitzgerald
8,933   12.1   
Dennis Pyle
8,839   12.0   
Doug Mays
6,087   8.3   
Vernon Fields
1,912   2.6   
73,608 votes, 96% reporting (882 of 917 precincts)

Sec. State
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Scott Schwab
81,897   35.4%   
Randy Duncan
51,087   22.1   
Dennis Taylor
49,934   21.6   
Craig McCullah
28,086   12.1   
Keith Esau
20,417   8.8   
231,421 votes, 83% reporting (2,923 of 3,539 precincts)

[KingSweden]

Also, I am legitimately surprised at the number of Democrats celebrating pretty much a Sarsour clone getting elected to Congress.

Yes, and?

You legitimately think Linda Sarsour is a good future for the Democratic party?

1 Rep out of the likely 200+ Dems in 2018 wont make a difference. The election of Lamb didnt force the Dems to the center, nor did the election of AOC force them left.

No, but this has an impact. My father, for example, would be less likely to vote Democratic after this.

Do many average Americans know who Saraour is? I mean I don’t care for her either but she’s not exactly a household name

[Zaybay]

Also, I am legitimately surprised at the number of Democrats celebrating pretty much a Sarsour clone getting elected to Congress.

Yes, and?

You legitimately think Linda Sarsour is a good future for the Democratic party?

1 Rep out of the likely 200+ Dems in 2018 wont make a difference. The election of Lamb didnt force the Dems to the center, nor did the election of AOC force them left.

No, but this has an impact. My father, for example, would be less likely to vote Democratic after this.

Because a muslim woman won the seat, and because she as pro-Palestinian views? Ill be honest, thats a bit weird that your dad, or any other voter for that matter, would not vote for a D rep or senator because that one from MI is against Israel, sort of.

Also, when you mentioned her, I had to actually look her up, and Im very active in politics and this forum.

[jamestroll]

Dems outvoting Republicans 56-43 in MO-02. Caveats about primary turnout, but that seems very strong for Democrats in a seat like MO-02.

yes ahahahah!!

We are going to defeat Ann Wagner!!!!!!!

[Sestak]

Also, I am legitimately surprised at the number of Democrats celebrating pretty much a Sarsour clone getting elected to Congress.

Yes, and?

You legitimately think Linda Sarsour is a good future for the Democratic party?

1 Rep out of the likely 200+ Dems in 2018 wont make a difference. The election of Lamb didnt force the Dems to the center, nor did the election of AOC force them left.

No, but this has an impact. My father, for example, would be less likely to vote Democratic after this.

Because a muslim woman won the seat, and because she as pro-Palestinian views? Ill be honest, thats a bit weird that your dad, or any other voter for that matter, would not vote for a D rep or senator because that one from MI is against Israel, sort of.

Also, when you mentioned her, I had to actually look her up, and Im very active in politics and this forum.

My family are atheists. He doesn't like pro-religion candidates and would prefer the Democrats remain secular.

[Zaybay]

Dems outvoting Republicans 56-43 in MO-02. Caveats about primary turnout, but that seems very strong for Democrats in a seat like MO-02.

yes ahahahah!!

We are going to defeat Ann Wagner!!!!!!!

It would be hilarious if she gave up a likely win in the senate race only to be beaten in a midterm wave by "playing it safe". But this is just a primary, so I wouldnt put too much stock into it

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS - MI:

U.S. House District 13 »
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Rashida Tlaib
20,654   35.1%   
Brenda Jones
17,391   29.6   
Coleman Young II
7,923   13.5   
Bill Wild
5,579   9.5   
Ian Conyers
3,886   6.6   
Shanelle Jackson
3,395   5.8   
58,828 votes, 85% reporting (356 of 421 precincts)

U.S. House District 10 »

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Kimberly Bizon
18,056   40.8%   
Frank Accavitti
14,295   32.3   
Michael McCarthy
11,883   26.9   
44,234 votes, 83% reporting (275 of 330 precincts)

WULFRIC PROJECTION - MO:

U.S. House District 4 »

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Renee Hoagenson
24,139   51.9%   
Hallie Thompson
22,398   48.1   
46,537 votes, 99% reporting (360 of 363 precincts)

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Pluses of tonight
TLAIB!
Longjohn(MI-6)-
Minuses
Balderson winning(Only b/c republicans will be unbearable)
Sayed losing, but it's only a minor loss. Whitmer is cool.
Saad losing(MI-11)(Stevens is ok)

Praying for Welder but it doesn't look good. If only JD could've found somebody who didn't carpetbag from Missouri lol

[Zaybay]

Also, I am legitimately surprised at the number of Democrats celebrating pretty much a Sarsour clone getting elected to Congress.

Yes, and?

You legitimately think Linda Sarsour is a good future for the Democratic party?

1 Rep out of the likely 200+ Dems in 2018 wont make a difference. The election of Lamb didnt force the Dems to the center, nor did the election of AOC force them left.

No, but this has an impact. My father, for example, would be less likely to vote Democratic after this.

Because a muslim woman won the seat, and because she as pro-Palestinian views? Ill be honest, thats a bit weird that your dad, or any other voter for that matter, would not vote for a D rep or senator because that one from MI is against Israel, sort of.

Also, when you mentioned her, I had to actually look her up, and Im very active in politics and this forum.

My family are atheists. He doesn't like pro-religion candidates and would prefer the Democrats remain secular.

I really hate to break it to ya, but shes not advocating for Sharia Law. In fact, I have never heard, in any of her stuff or speeches, her use religion, in any case. Im pretty sure shes just a progressive/DS who happens to be muslim. Like Ellison, both are semi-religious, but dont inject it into politics. And trust me, even if they were, the R party is still quoting bible scripture and using Jesus for every argument, so its a pretty stark choice.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Pluses of tonight
TLAIB!
Longjohn(MI-6)-
Minuses
Balderson winning(Only b/c republicans will be unbearable)
Sayed losing, but it's only a minor loss. Whitmer is cool.
Saad losing(MI-11)(Wanted Stevens)

Praying for Welder but it doesn't look good. If only JD could've found somebody who didn't carpetbag from Missouri lol

MI-11 isn't really over yet, only 48% in per NYT.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Also, I am legitimately surprised at the number of Democrats celebrating pretty much a Sarsour clone getting elected to Congress.

Yes, and?

You legitimately think Linda Sarsour is a good future for the Democratic party?

1 Rep out of the likely 200+ Dems in 2018 wont make a difference. The election of Lamb didnt force the Dems to the center, nor did the election of AOC force them left.

No, but this has an impact. My father, for example, would be less likely to vote Democratic after this.

Because a muslim woman won the seat, and because she as pro-Palestinian views? Ill be honest, thats a bit weird that your dad, or any other voter for that matter, would not vote for a D rep or senator because that one from MI is against Israel, sort of.

Also, when you mentioned her, I had to actually look her up, and Im very active in politics and this forum.

My family are atheists. He doesn't like pro-religion candidates and would prefer the Democrats remain secular.

I really hate to break it to ya, but shes not advocating for Sharia Law. In fact, I have never heard, in any of her stuff or speeches, her use religion, in any case. Im pretty sure shes just a progressive/DS who happens to be muslim. Like Ellison, both are semi-religious, but dont inject it into politics. And trust me, even if they were, the R party is still quoting bible scripture and using Jesus for every argument, so its a pretty stark choice.

I don't know about Tlaib, but Linda Sarsour has multiple tweets where she basically argues that Sharia Law is actually really progressive.

[Sestak]

Brent Welder
13,087   38.9%   
Sharice Davids
11,071   32.9   
Tom Niermann
4,995   14.8   


Come on Welder!

[KingSweden]

Also, I am legitimately surprised at the number of Democrats celebrating pretty much a Sarsour clone getting elected to Congress.

Yes, and?

You legitimately think Linda Sarsour is a good future for the Democratic party?

1 Rep out of the likely 200+ Dems in 2018 wont make a difference. The election of Lamb didnt force the Dems to the center, nor did the election of AOC force them left.

No, but this has an impact. My father, for example, would be less likely to vote Democratic after this.

Because a muslim woman won the seat, and because she as pro-Palestinian views? Ill be honest, thats a bit weird that your dad, or any other voter for that matter, would not vote for a D rep or senator because that one from MI is against Israel, sort of.

Also, when you mentioned her, I had to actually look her up, and Im very active in politics and this forum.

My family are atheists. He doesn't like pro-religion candidates and would prefer the Democrats remain secular.

I really hate to break it to ya, but shes not advocating for Sharia Law. In fact, I have never heard, in any of her stuff or speeches, her use religion, in any case. Im pretty sure shes just a progressive/DS who happens to be muslim. Like Ellison, both are semi-religious, but dont inject it into politics. And trust me, even if they were, the R party is still quoting bible scripture and using Jesus for every argument, so its a pretty stark choice.

I don't know about Tlaib, but Linda Sarsour has multiple tweets where she basically argues that Sharia Law is actually really progressive.

Sarsour is nuts, though, and is also not running for office

[new_patomic]

It does seem a bit odd that compared to other Republican incumbents Wagner's race at least 30K less raw votes. Or at least among those incumbents where results were reported.

Of course, primary turnout =/= election day results, but hmm.