Jamaican elections - special between-the-years treat

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

3PNP 1JLP - very early counting.

[DrScholl]

Very interesting observing this, I've read a lot about Jamaican elections and politics in the past, but this is the first time I've observed an election.

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

Aye, I sort of kept an eye on the last one, but this is interesting.

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

LOL. A story about an old man who supposedly died after realizing he voted for the wrong party.

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

8PNP 5JLP

[DrScholl]

LOL. A story about an old man who supposedly died after realizing he voted for the wrong party.

That was so crazy, talk about taking politics to seriously.

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

The results scrolling across the bottom are more up to date than the webpage I provided earlier. Let me see if I can hand-add things like I did for the Yukon.

[Phony Moderate]

Professor Ian Boxill's projection:

JLP - 30
PNP - 28
Too close to call - 5

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

Okay, my grid/table/chart is set up and ready to go. Currently I have the PNP at 54% and the JLP at 46% pop vote. Lets see what I can add once the bar comes back.

Also, I'm enjoying these commercials lol.


EDIT
nevermind
http://election.jamaicaobserver.com/
it's here, seat by seat, but I'll keep you guys up to date with pop vote totals.

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

25PNP - 20JLP

[DrScholl]

Both candidates in Manchester North Eastern are tied right now, having exactly 2,365 votes each.

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

38PNP - 22JLP

PNP has been ahead all night so far.

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

All seats now have at least 1 box reporting.

Current results:
PNP - 39 - 53% pop vote
JLP - 24 - 47% pop vote

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

Progress results, 7:30pm
PNP - 38 - 53% - 8 "Called" seats (called by the media)
JLP - 25 - 47% -  5 "Called"

JLP needs to pick up soon or they are done for.

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[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

Progress results, 8pm
PNP - 40 - 53% - 22 "Called" seats (called by the media)
JLP - 23 - 46% -  9 "Called"

JLP needs to pick up soon or they are done for.

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[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

Declared only:

PNP - 25
JLP - 11
NYD - 27 (not yet declared)

(32 needed for a majority)

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

JTV called it for the PNP

PNP - 25
JLP - 18
NYD - 20
41-22 in the "leading in elected" column, PNP ahead in most undeclared seats.

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

Declared seats:

PNP - 32 - WINNER, MAJORITY GOVERNMENT
JLP - 19
NYD - 12

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

PNP - 39
JLP - 21
NYD - 3

And that's it from me for tonight!

[Hatman 🍁]

District names are ridiculous... and so are the party names (they are reversed, it seems).

[homelycooking]

Sorry about the yellow for PNP, but the orange color scale is too uneven to use here.

[minionofmidas]

Besides, with the black borders, that makes it look like the Jamaican flag!

Very nice. Didn't expect such a big win (seatwise; it seems the popular vote wasn't all that landslidey?)

[redcommander]

Woah for a second I thought the PNP was right-wing. How interesting that the Labour Party is Conservative.

[minionofmidas]

PNP performance by parish and county.

Cornwall 52.7 (+2.4) 11 out of 16 (+3 - seat added)

Hanover 53.3 (+3.1) 2 out of 2 (0)
Westmoreland 62.9 (+4.7 assuming that's a misprint in my 2007 post) 3 out of 3 (0)
Saint James 50.4 (+4.1) 3 out of 5 (+2 - seat added)
Trelawny 51.0 (+1.5) 1 out of 2 (0)
Saint Elizabeth 53.7 (+5.2) 2 out of 4 (+1)

Middlesex 51.8 (+3.4) 18 out of 28 (+6 - 2 seats added)

Saint Ann 54.0 (+4.6) 3 out of 4 (+2)
Saint Mary 53.5 (+2.2) 3 out of 3 (+1)
Manchester 53.4 (+2.4) 3 out of 4 (0)
Clarendon 50.1 (+4.6) 3 out of 6 (+2)
Saint Catherine 50.5 (+3.1) 6 out of 11 (+1 - 2 seats added which split 1-1 along predictable lines, and nothing changed hands actually)

Surrey 54.9 (+3.3) 12 out of 19 (+3)

Kingston 52.2 (+4.4) 2 out of 3 (0)
Saint Andrew 57.4 (+4.0) 8 out of 12 (+3)
Saint Thomas 50.2 (+2.2) 1 out of 2 (0)
Portland 50.3 (-0.4) 1 out of 2 (0)

Jamaica 52.9 (+3.3) 41 out of 63 (+12 - 3 added. All of this is compared to the tallies I did four years ago; apparently one close seat actually switched to the JLP in late counting back then so it's actually +13, and some percentages may also be slightly off.)

The Comrades carried every parish! (you gotta love a country where the supporters of the two parties are nicknamed Comrades and Labourites). Longtime PNP incumbent stood down in Portland Eastern; I did read a piece where it was claimed the new candidate was "weak".)

[minionofmidas]

2002 52.1% of the vote got them 34 out of 60. When they took 50 out of 60 in 97, it was on a 16 point lead. So yeah, they got lucky in a lot of swingy seats; pretty much swept all but a couple of them.

Also, first time ever that a Jamaican government was voted out after a single term.

Some JLP bigwigs lost their seats: Agriculture and Fisheries Minister Robert Montague in St Mary W, Mining and Energy Minister Clive Mullings in Montego Bay SW St James WC.