Official March 4th Results Discussion Topic

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Most of the state closes at 9, El Paso closes at 10. Caucuses start shortly thereafter.

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Most of the state closes at 9, El Paso closes at 10. Caucuses start shortly thereafter.

Bro, it's either 7:00 PM CST or 7:00 PM MST.  I did live there for 23 years. 

Bah, sorry, I got confused.

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No surprises yet. Obama appears to have won all demographics in VT.

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They can't have that many voters up there.  What's taking them so long? 

I think Vermont uses only paper ballots, so they take a while.

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Voting in Sandusky County, OH, extended until 9 PM

Will that delay exit poll releases?

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CNN still has their countdown thing up, so it didn't seem like it.

They're definitely not delaying exit polls until Steubensville is done

Is that the place where they're allowing provisional ballots for ten days, or something?

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That's all of Shaftsbury in VT, and nothing else. Robert Frost's hometown (for those who care).

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Interesting regional breakdown in Ohio. Obama leads everywhere except the Northeast, where Clinton cleans up.

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Obama is winning in Cuyahoga County. I wasn't expecting that....

How much is in though?

Here's the regional exit poll:

Cuyahoga: 59O-41C
Northeast: 61C-39O
Central: 51O-48C
Northwest: 55O-44C
Southwest: 51O-49C

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Interesting regional breakdown in Ohio. Obama leads everywhere except the Northeast, where Clinton cleans up.

Er... isn't the Northeast Cleveland?

EDIT: Nevermind, Cuyahoga County is a separate region in the exit poll.

The northeast is Akron, Youngstown, etc., the heart of the rust belt.

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Obama is winning in Cuyahoga County. I wasn't expecting that....

Cleveland has a large black population (obviously) and the county itself has some rather upscale suburban areas mostly (IIRC) east of the city).

OTH, Cleveland is in dire straits from the foreclosure crisis. Shaker Heights, the wealthy suburb you speak of, has huge swathes of the city entirely empty due to foreclosures. I would expect them to fall head over heels for the brainless freezing of interest rates.

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Clinton leads Essex County, VT 67-33 with 7% in.

This was Kerry's only VT county victory in 2004.

You mean his only county loss?

2004 Dem primaries. Duh.

Kerry also won Bennington VT in the primary. Essex was the only county he didn't win in the general.

Bennington is, at least so far, Clinton's second-best VT county. So it holds up.

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Obama leads Williamson and Collin Counties widely with very little in (Austin and Dallas suburbs/exurbs). Clinton leads some very rural counties with a lot more in.

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Obama leads in Austin and Fort Worth. More rural counties for Clinton. Red River County for Obama (OK border, near LA).

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Dallas suburbs heavily for Obama. The city is still not in, however.

Tarrant County is Ft Worth, not Dallas suburbs.

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Red River County for Obama (OK border, near LA).

Katrina Dispora?

181-47.

Probably some affluent precinct.

Looked it up, the county seat is nearly half black. County as a whole is 18%.

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Jeff Davis County for Obama. The one non-heavily Hispanic border county. (And cue the irony.)

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Affluent precinct in Red River County?

Hehehe.  No.

Yeah, lol.
Red River County is Rural Trash America.

Don't knock the home of John Nance Garner

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Glasscock 10% for Paul, 6% uncommited. Explain?

If you live in a county called Glasscock, I guess it's hard to take anything seriously. (The Democratic primary there is more interesting: 2 votes, split evenly, with 20% reporting.)

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Still no results from Grand Isle County, VT. I wonder what's going on.

Isolated islands in Lake Champlain.

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Affluent precinct in Red River County?

Hehehe.  No.

Yeah, lol.
Red River County is Rural Trash America.

Don't knock the home of John Nance Garner

Face it John Nance Garner was Rascist, Trash, that was against the New Deal.

I was just joking, sheesh.

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Still no results from Grand Isle County, VT. I wonder what's going on.

Isolated islands in Lake Champlain.

All of them?

That's what Grand Isle consists of.

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So do they just throw in all the early votes to one precinct or something? Because at the current rate there'd be somewhere in the range of 70-80 million voters in the Texas Democratic primary, which I find fairly unlikely

That's what they did in California.

Also, early voting will narrow. Cameron, Hidalgo, and El Paso are some of the strongest early voting counties, and are also Clinton territory.

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Hidalgo came in. Smaller shift than I expected.

Remaining large counties are El Paso (strong Clinton), Cameron (strong Clinton), Denton (strong Obama) and Galveston (unknown). Of course, these are only early votes.

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Exit poll suggests tiny Clinton lead in TX. No idea how it factors in early votes.