John Delaney announces candidacy

[Mr. Morden]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/john-delaney-why-im-running-for-president/2017/07/28/02460ae4-73b7-11e7-8f39-eeb7d3a2d304_story.html

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[Mr. Morden]

Here's more on Delaney:

http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/maryland/politics/blog/bs-md-delaney-announcement-20170728-story.html

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[Mr. Morden]

His website:

https://www.johnkdelaney.com/

And campaign rollout video on Youtube:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DCCzeFu-7Wg

[Mr. Morden]

Don't know what the hell he's thinking but I have a feeling his campaign will go the way of Evan Bayh 2008.

I was thinking more like Thad McCotter 2012.

In any case, serious question: Will any pollsters include him in any Democratic primary polls?  Either now, or at any point between now and 2020?  Also, what are the odds on him even qualifying for a kiddie table debate in 2019?

The best case scenario for him is that his odd choice to launch a 2020 presidential campaign in 2017 becomes enough of a punchline that he actually gets some media attention out of it.  Maybe one of the late night comedy shows will notice this story, and do a joke about him, simply because this is so weird.  I guess that might give him enough attention that PPP includes him in a poll?

[Mr. Morden]

Announcing three and a half year before the election? Ryly?

Three and a half years from now will be after the inauguration.  It's "only" two and a half years until the Iowa caucuses, and the primary debates will start probably about six months before that.

[Mr. Morden]

3.5 years out is way too much,

Again, the first votes are 2.5 years away, not 3.5.

[Mr. Morden]

In 2015, Lincoln Chafee managed to raise just $15,000 in the third quarter (putting him well behind even Jim Gilmore in fundraising):

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=219971.msg4762414#msg4762414

But at least that was ~6 months before primary ballots were being cast.  What about Delaney in the third quarter of 2017?  What's the over/under on the amount of money he'll raise for his presidential campaign this quarter?

[Mr. Morden]

His YouTube channel has literally one subscriber. And it's me.

14th!

1300% GROWTH IN EIGHT HOURS

Y'ALL CAN'T HANDLE THIS

Your new username is the best.

[Mr. Morden]

Do you guys think we could get Delaney to do an AMA on this forum?  I mean, if we can get Mark B. Graham and Darryl Perry on here, then surely the sky's the limit?

My hunch is that the US Election Atlas forum is currently one of the world leaders in Delaney 2020 media coverage.  Surely, no other online venue has printed more words about Delaney's candidacy today than we have.  So I think he owes us.

[Mr. Morden]

Do you guys think we could get Delaney to do an AMA on this forum?  I mean, if we can get Mark B. Graham and Darryl Perry on here, then surely the sky's the limit?

My hunch is that the US Election Atlas forum is currently one of the world leaders in Delaney 2020 media coverage.  Surely, no other online venue has printed more words about Delaney's candidacy today than we have.  So I think he owes us.

What's an AMA, and where can I see one conducted in the past?

Here's the one with Mark B. Graham:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=212016.0

[Mr. Morden]

Delaney says "I don't consider myself a longshot."

Well there you have it.