Nov. 2017 general election predictions? (user search)
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  Nov. 2017 general election predictions? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Nov. 2017 general election predictions?  (Read 29651 times)
Oryxslayer
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Posts: 10,966


« on: November 07, 2017, 08:44:58 AM »

I'm going to try to keep to whole numbers, only splitting digits in half.

VA Gov

52% Northam
46.5% Gillespie
1.5% Hyra

VA Lt Gov

51% Fairfax
49% Vogel

VA Attorney General

53% Herring
47% Adams

VA HoD
D Gain of 8 - 10 with HD 100 as a potential 11th

NJ Gov
58.5% Murphy
39% Guadango
2.5% Others
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Oryxslayer
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,966


« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2017, 09:17:46 PM »

I'm going to try to keep to whole numbers, only splitting digits in half.

VA Gov

52% Northam
46.5% Gillespie
1.5% Hyra

VA Lt Gov

51% Fairfax
49% Vogel

VA Attorney General

53% Herring
47% Adams

VA HoD
D Gain of 8 - 10 with HD 100 as a potential 11th

NJ Gov
58.5% Murphy
39% Guadango
2.5% Others

Predicted Gov pretty good - overestimated Gillespie by 1.5%
Didn't get Lt Gov close, was fooled by the closer polls for Fairfax. Overestimated Vogel by 2%.
Attorney General was a good matching result.

VA HoD - way off, but probably better then most. I don't think anyone expected 15+. For someone who was following DDHQ constantly on this, I arguably only really though the Dem wave would make gains in NOVA and a few other places. Didn't expect the VA Beach/Richmond flips.

NJ Gov - Reasonably far off, 3% overestimated Murphy. Curse that low turnout!
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