Gary Johnson sounds like a pretty....interesting guy. Do you think he would have a chance? He seems like Ron Paul 2.0.
My scenario involves Johnson positioning himself as a centrist. Exit polls in NH show that if every anti-war Republican how voted for the only anti-war Republican running, Ron Paul would have won the primary 35-23 over Mitt Romney. Had Paul had enough money to get his name out in New Hampshire early, that demographic probably would have voted for him instead of voting for the hawk McCain. However, Johnson has 3 years to prepare, whereas Paul only had 1. With a conservative split between Romney, Huckabee, and Palin, Johnson would have a good chance at winning New Hampshire.