IBD/TIPP Poll: Trump +1/Clinton +3

[BoAtlantis]

One thing is for sure.

Some polls will get humiliated on Election night.

[BoAtlantis]

I almost enjoy seeing polls like this because they don't allow complacency to set in. Everyone knows Clinton is way ahead but that 10% of doubt keeps us working hard

Same here, we'll see what happens. We should not dismiss polls that we disagree with.

[BoAtlantis]

I pay no attention to 538 ratings. They give Survey USA an A.

Silver says they've been accurate for such a long time that it maintains its spot.

But since 2014, they've done pretty poorly.

[BoAtlantis]

They also had a mid-October poll where they showed Obama just 1 point ahead of McCain.

True, modified it. So maybe this one is an outlier to, but I refuse to accept they are doing this on purpose.

Some pollsters completely fabricate their data and results. It's been documented by Silver but we should give IBD the benefit of the doubt. They have a slight Republican leaning bias so it's probably safe to say the race is anywhere from tied to +8 in favor of Hillary.

We can never be too cautious of pollsters accuracy because they tend to herd and throw out results that are too deviated from the average. I applaud IBD for being brave enough to give us the result. Perhaps it could be a warning for all Democrats.

[BoAtlantis]

Ok,assume this is not a huge outlier.
How the hell does it fit with all the state polls from the last 2 weeks?

I am scratching my head more at the fact that their trend is counter-intuitive.

He has actually taken the lead since September which seems to suggest that the sexual misconducts have not hurt him at all.