CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA

[IceSpear]

Looks like we escaped the lock outs well, but even if we get candidates in these potential pick up seats, the gop is still leading well in primary turnout for these districts and breaching 50% in like all of them. This is very bad and should not be happening. Not good at all...

THERE ARE THOUSANDS (MAYBE MILLIONS) OF VOTES LEFT TO COUNT!!!

Not maybe millions. There ARE millions.

[Babeuf]

Very happy about Katie Porter winning so far! I was worried that Min had it sewn up, but I'm glad to see that's not the case.

[MAINEiac4434]

Honestly looking at some of these results.... it looks like OC, SD, and San Bernardino are still pretty republican on local and state level.

Dude, 20% of the state is reporting.

[Gass3268]

Looks like we escaped the lock outs well, but even if we get candidates in these potential pick up seats, the gop is still leading well in primary turnout for these districts and breaching 50% in like all of them. This is very bad and should not be happening. Not good at all...

THERE ARE THOUSANDS (MAYBE MILLIONS) OF VOTES LEFT TO COUNT!!!

Not maybe millions. There ARE millions.

OK, MILLIONS!!!

[Nyvin]

Oh for F**k SAKE https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1004225531775242240

Dang,  that would make 2nd place a nearly perfect three way tie. 

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Wulfric Primary Coverage is ending for the night. Looking at the uncalled races:

In Iowa, DeJear leads Mowrer in the SOS D primary 51-49. 5% of the vote is still outstanding.
Also in Iowa, the Ag. Sec. R Primary is on the verge of going to convention. With 1469/1682 precincts reporting, the most popular candidate, Mike Naig, is at 34.93% of the vote. 35.00% of the vote is required to avoid an open convention.
In New Mexico, with 15% of the vote outstanding, Richard leads Venekalsen 40 percent to 37 percent for D Land Commissioner
In Montana, with just 40% of the vote reporting, Rosendale has a narrow lead in the race for the republican senate nomination. With 24% in, Steve Kelly leads by 728 votes to 451 votes for Timothy Adams in the Independent Party Primary.
Also in Montana, Kathleen Williams and John Heenan are in a dead heat for CD 1 D nomination, with 53% of the vote outstanding.
In California, one-tenth of one-percentage point separates DeLeon and Bradley in the race to take on Feinstein in November. Just 19% of precincts have reported.

WULFRIC coverage resumes in the morning.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Tonight, California has changed my mind. I don't think we are winning the house anymore.

[136or142]

Looks like we escaped the lock outs well, but even if we get candidates in these potential pick up seats, the gop is still leading well in primary turnout for these districts and breaching 50% in like all of them. This is very bad and should not be happening. Not good at all...

These are still early returns.

Right now California 39 is combined approx 53-47% Republican
California 48 is approx 56-44% Republican (it is actually still a fairly safe Republican district in most circumstances)
California 49 is 51-49% Democratic.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Tonight, California has changed my mind. I don't think we are winning the house anymore.

I honestly don't know how you pulled that out of your ass.

[Adam Griffin]

Looks like some people don't remember how substantially the national PV shifts to the Democrats in the days following presidential elections, almost entirely because of California. What do they think is going to happen statewide?

[Gass3268]

Tonight, California has changed my mind. I don't think we are winning the house anymore.

(BANGING HEAD AGAINST WALL)

[136or142]

Harley Rouda is probably the strongest Democratic candidate in the district.  Harley-Davidson motorcycles was renamed after him!!!!!!!

[Hindsight was 2020]

OC drop some votes and KEIRSTEAD lead in 2nd has shrank to .5%

[MAINEiac4434]

Tonight, California has changed my mind. I don't think we are winning the house anymore.

[john cage bubblegum]

I know it's so very tempting to come away from an election night with a conclusion, but that just is not possible in California given how they count their votes.  Given all the hot takes I've read, apparently this is something that must be reiterated.  

[Sherrod Brown Shill]

Tonight, California has changed my mind. I don't think we are winning the house anymore.

(BANGING HEAD AGAINST WALL)

*20% of vote in showing good turnout*

Atlas: THE BLUE WAVE IS DEAD! DEMOCRATS IN DISARRAY!

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Tonight, California has changed my mind. I don't think we are winning the house anymore.

I honestly don't know how you pulled that out of your ass.

Look at how ing terrible numbers in cd's are even in obvious D holds. Garamendi at 54?!

Bera at 52?!

McNerney at 53?!

Carbajal at 52?!

Waters at 68?!

Lowenthal at 56?!

Peters at 57?!

Yes, these are all likely to safe D holds, but still terrible numbers, awful!

[Oryxslayer]

I know it's so very tempting to come away from an election night with a conclusion, but that just is not possible in California given how they count their votes.  Given all the hot takes I've read, apparently this is something that must be reiterated.  

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Democrats pick up AD-76 via shutout

Lmao the second-place candidate is named Elizabeth Warren

TBH I am surprised we don't see random some dude candidates change their name more often to a strategic name designed to win them an election. You occasionally have that, but not all the time. It seems like basically the easiest way for candidates to boost their chances of winning.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Tonight, California has changed my mind. I don't think we are winning the house anymore.

I honestly don't know how you pulled that out of your ass.

Look at how ing terrible numbers in cd's are even in obvious D holds. Garamendi at 54?!

Bera at 52?!

McNerney at 53?!

Carbajal at 52?!

Waters at 68?!

Lowenthal at 56?!

Peters at 57?!

Yes, these are all likely to safe D holds, but still terrible numbers, awful!

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I am seeing that limo might have been right all along (myabe a little overboard, dramatic, and a tinge too pessimistic) but the guy obviously has the bigger picture.

[InheritTheWind]

Tonight, California has changed my mind. I don't think we are winning the house anymore.

I honestly don't know how you pulled that out of your ass.

Look at how ing terrible numbers in cd's are even in obvious D holds. Garamendi at 54?!

Bera at 52?!

McNerney at 53?!

Carbajal at 52?!

Waters at 68?!

Lowenthal at 56?!

Peters at 57?!

Yes, these are all likely to safe D holds, but still terrible numbers, awful!

How the hell do you dress yourself in the morning?

[Nyvin]

If there is any lockout, it looks like it might be in CA-8.   Not that that really matters.

[136or142]

Tonight, California has changed my mind. I don't think we are winning the house anymore.

(BANGING HEAD AGAINST WALL)

*20% of vote in showing good turnout*

Atlas: THE BLUE WAVE IS DEAD! DEMOCRATS IN DISARRAY!

This was also largely the same thing said on CNN.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Looks like some people don't remember how substantially the national PV shifts to the Democrats in the days following presidential elections, almost entirely because of California. What do they think is going to happen statewide?