MI: Rasmussen: McCain tied with Obama/Clinton

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Michigan President by Rasmussen on 2008-05-07

Summary: D: 44%, R: 44%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details


McCain: 45%
Obama: 44%


Favorable Ratings:

McCain - 54% favorable, 43% unfavorable
Obama - 50% favorable, 47% unfavorable
Clinton - 49% favorable, 49% unfavorable

[Ronnie]

I'm getting more and more pessimistic about McCain being able to win Michigan.  At this point, with the delegate feud and all, he should be leading nicely.

I have no doubt that Obama will get a bounce in Michigan once he is the nominee.

[Flying Dog]

This makes me feel better. Obama should win 52-48 or more.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Obama - 50% favorable, 47% unfavorable
Clinton - 49% favorable, 49% unfavorable

Wow, the delegate thing must be a HUGE issue there no doubt.

[Flying Dog]

Obama - 50% favorable, 47% unfavorable
Clinton - 49% favorable, 49% unfavorable

Wow, the delegate thing must be a HUGE issue there no doubt.

That's what I keep trying to tell people. The issue is being way overblown. Frankly, nobaody gives a crap, either way.

[Flying Dog]

This poll also showed that we are in favor of medical pot.  Fine with me but Hmmmmmmm.

Where do you see that?

[Bay Ridge, Bklyn! Born and Bred]

Using the last presidential election as a metric, Kerry by this time in 2004 always had a respectable 6 to sometimes even a 10 point lead over Bush, so the prognosis doesn’t look good (at this point, at least) for the Dems.  And yes, we’ve come to the time in the year where state-by-state polls do matter.   Face it:  McCain has the potential to actually snatch some blue states away from the Dems and if he can squeeze out a victory in Ohio, MI, or PA then the fat lady has sung.   All the crackheads in Detroit won’t be able to save Obambi in the Wolverine State come November.

[ChrisFromNJ]

Using the last presidential election as a metric, Kerry by this time in 2004 always had a respectable 6 to sometimes even a 10 point lead over Bush, so the prognosis doesn’t look good (at this point, at least) for the Dems.  And yes, we’ve come to the time in the year where state-by-state polls do matter.   Face it:  McCain has the potential to actually snatch some blue states away from the Dems and if he can squeeze out a victory in Ohio, MI, or PA then the fat lady has sung.   All the crackheads in Detroit won’t be able to save Obambi in the Wolverine State come November.

I think you might want to wait until the Democrats have a nominee before saying this - Kerry had already won the nomination at this point.

[Flying Dog]

Using the last presidential election as a metric, Kerry by this time in 2004 always had a respectable 6 to sometimes even a 10 point lead over Bush, so the prognosis doesn’t look good (at this point, at least) for the Dems.  And yes, we’ve come to the time in the year where state-by-state polls do matter.   Face it:  McCain has the potential to actually snatch some blue states away from the Dems and if he can squeeze out a victory in Ohio, MI, or PA then the fat lady has sung.   All the crackheads in Detroit won’t be able to save Obambi in the Wolverine State come November.

Yeah that's your problem. This race is different from 04 in so many way's. Kerry did as bad as he did in Michigan due to generally low turnout in Detroit. It won't happen this time. Plus Oakland Co. has real potential for Obama. Also, as a general Michigan election rule, you almost need Oakland to win in Michigan.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Detroit might be good, but the working class whites will not support Obama like they supported Kerry. Face that fact, my Democratic friends. McCain appeals to them a hell of a lot more than Obama.

[Alcon]

Detroit might be good, but the working class whites will not support Obama like they supported Kerry. Face that fact, my Democratic friends. McCain appeals to them a hell of a lot more than Obama.

Working-class whites favoring McCain over Obama?  Cough.  Source?

[Gustaf]

Detroit might be good, but the working class whites will not support Obama like they supported Kerry. Face that fact, my Democratic friends. McCain appeals to them a hell of a lot more than Obama.

Working-class whites favoring McCain over Obama?  Cough.  Source?

His point is probably concerning the marginal effect. But aren't working class whites usually sort-of closeish? I thought I saw McCain ahead of Obama in either Gallup or Rasmussen. But it depends on the definition, obviously.

[ChrisFromNJ]

Detroit might be good, but the working class whites will not support Obama like they supported Kerry. Face that fact, my Democratic friends. McCain appeals to them a hell of a lot more than Obama.

McCain isn't nearly as good a candidate for working class whites as Bush was.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Detroit might be good, but the working class whites will not support Obama like they supported Kerry. Face that fact, my Democratic friends. McCain appeals to them a hell of a lot more than Obama.

Working-class whites favoring McCain over Obama?  Cough.  Source?

I didn't say they'd favor McCain over Obama. I said that they won't support him like they supported Kerry. McCain appeals to them more than Bush did, and yes, some will favor McCain over Obama. 100% of Hillary voters will not jump to Obama.