UK General Election 2017 - Predictions Thread (user search)
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  UK General Election 2017 - Predictions Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: UK General Election 2017 - Predictions Thread  (Read 20361 times)
jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,658
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« on: May 04, 2017, 07:15:14 AM »
Quote from: Phony Moderate on May 04, 2017, 06:34:15 AM
Remember that it looks as if UKIP are only going to field candidates in, at most, half of all seats. So on present polls they'd only get 2-4%. Unless the pollsters are accounting for that fact, which I don't believe is the case.

Good point. Are the Greens running candidates in every seat this time ?
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,658
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2017, 06:03:09 AM »
My best guess for GB right now would be

CON   48.9%    395 seats
LAB    30.1%    177 seats
LIB       9.8%       7 seats
UKIP     3.4%       0 seats
Greens  2.1%       1 seats
SNP      4.2%     49 seats
PC        0.6%       3 seats
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,658
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #2 on: May 23, 2017, 12:19:02 PM »
Update guess from me BEFORE the terror attack is taken into account

My best guess for GB right now would be

CON   47.5%    378 seats
LAB    32.9%    195 seats
LIB       8.8%       5 seats
UKIP     3.0%       0 seats
Greens  2.1%       1 seats
SNP      4.2%     50 seats
PC        0.6%       3 seats
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,658
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #3 on: May 30, 2017, 07:58:07 AM »
My best guess for GB right now would be

CON   46.0%    358 seats
LAB    34.6%    216 seats
LIB       8.2%       5 seats
UKIP     3.2%       0 seats
Greens  1.9%       1 seats
SNP      4.2%     49 seats
PC        0.6%       3 seats
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,658
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #4 on: June 02, 2017, 11:20:28 AM »
My best guess for GB right now would be

CON   45.2%    353 seats
LAB    35.9%    220 seats
LIB       8.1%       5 seats
UKIP     3.2%       0 seats
Greens  1.8%       1 seats
SNP      4.2%     50 seats
PC        0.6%       3 seats

These results seems to indicate that Corybn will be around for a while
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,658
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #5 on: June 06, 2017, 07:25:05 AM »
My best guess for GB right now would be

CON   44.8%    350 seats
LAB    36.5%    223 seats
LIB       8.2%       5 seats
UKIP     3.1%       0 seats
Greens  1.7%       1 seats
SNP      4.1%     50 seats
PC        0.6%       3 seats
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,658
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #6 on: June 07, 2017, 06:54:25 PM »
My most likely final guess for GB

CON   44.4%    348 seats
LAB    36.4%    227 seats
LIB       8.2%       3 seats
UKIP     3.4%       0 seats
Greens  1.7%       1 seats
SNP      4.2%     50 seats
PC        0.6%       3 seats
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,658
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #7 on: June 08, 2017, 07:50:03 AM »
My final final guess for GB

CON   44.1%    345 seats  (includes Speaker)
LAB    36.6%    230 seats
LIB       8.1%       3 seats
UKIP     3.2%       0 seats
Greens  1.7%       1 seats
SNP      4.1%     50 seats
PC        0.6%       3 seats

May will most likely not last long after the election and Corbyn will be around for a while.
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