Religon, Race, and 2008 Election Results: Your County

[All Along The Watchtower]

What the title says, in a nutshell.


My County: Santa Clara County, CA

Religion:
  Percentage of population affiliated with a religious congregation: 43.25%
       Catholic Church (66%)
       Other (14%)
       Evangelical Denominations (12%)
       Mainline Denominations (8%)

Race:
    White Non-Hispanic Alone (38.4%)
    Asian alone (30.0%)
    Hispanic or Latino (25.7%)
    Black Non-Hispanic Alone (2.4%)
    Two or more races (2.4%)

2008 Election Results:
   Obama: 69.45%
   McCain: 28.55%

Source: http://www.city-data.com/county/Santa_Clara_County-CA.html

[All Along The Watchtower]

That's interesting but I don't see any reason why the trend will continue. If anything, if Obama wins it will be due to some of this demographic coming back to him, as well as more union and working class types across the north (see Ohio). If they don't, he will lose. But let's say he loses by 7 points, which was the GOP advantage in 2010, he would still only lose by 30 points in your precinct and a bit more in LN assuming no trend from 2010. Even if there is a trend towards the Republicans in 2012 in your hood, it will be hard to get to a 40 point advantage. Anyways it won't happen. Feel free to dig this up in November if you want.

On this subject, I do wonder how many unionized workers will vote for Obama in 2012 compared to 2008. Didn't McCain win around 40% of them?