Make an Obama/Romney trend map (user search)
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  Make an Obama/Romney trend map (search mode)
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Author Topic: Make an Obama/Romney trend map  (Read 3083 times)
LastVoter
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« on: April 06, 2012, 01:08:51 PM »

So all that really matters is this:



Because any Romney trends won't go far enough to flip PA, IA, etc., only NH (and of course IN/NC/FL).  If the Dem trend continues in CO/VA/OH then all is well.


I think CO/VA could go either way on a trend map, at this point. Too many rich people.
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LastVoter
seatown
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Posts: 4,322
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« Reply #1 on: April 16, 2012, 01:40:58 AM »

So all that really matters is this:



Because any Romney trends won't go far enough to flip PA, IA, etc., only NH (and of course IN/NC/FL).  If the Dem trend continues in CO/VA/OH then all is well.


I think CO/VA could go either way on a trend map, at this point. Too many rich people.

Really?  Well obviously there's very little room for Obama to survive if either of those trends away from him - particularly Colorado - but happily there's little indication of that so far.
I'm not saying they will, it would be more of a toss-up which way they will trend. But Ohio will trend to Obama, and if Colorado trends to Romney it won't be by more than 1% against national average, and Nevada is out of reach. I'd say Obama is fairly safe unless he loses big(>1%) in the popular vote.

This is actually possible. If Ohio trends over 2% to Obama and Colorado trends 1% to Romney(not completely unrealistic).
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