New Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Poll
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Author Topic: New Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Poll  (Read 749 times)
lonestar
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« on: October 05, 2004, 11:28:40 AM »

Don't know any specifics, like dates or anything else, but they just reported it on Fox as:

Bush- 48%
Kerry- 45%

Likely voters, I believe.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2004, 11:32:23 AM »
« Edited: October 05, 2004, 01:58:25 PM by The Vorlon »

Don't know any specifics, like dates or anything else, but they just reported it on Fox as:

Bush- 48%
Kerry- 45%

Likely voters, I believe.

Two Way LVs

Bush 48
Kerry 45

Gain of 1% for Bush vs last OD poll

Three Way LVs

Bush 47
Kerry 45
Nader 2

loss of 1% for Bush vs last OD Poll

here is the story:

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,134525,00.html

here are "the guts"

http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/100504_poll.pdf

Party ID is "about"

Indys 37%
Dems 36%
GOP 27%

Don't take this as accurate yet, I am still checking a few things...

If you reweight this poll to the "magic" 39/35/26 Bush lead by about 50.1 to 44.6 using the two way race demographics. - FWIW, for those of you that believe in these thngs.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2004, 11:33:06 AM »

If there's anything out, we'll notice soon enough round these parts.
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Reds4
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« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2004, 12:35:33 PM »

Vorlon, I'm glad I read your post again. I was about to say it makes no sense for Bush to be up 11 among independents and Kerry getting only 4% of republicans and yet Kerry be down only 3%. 9% more dems? wow, that is quite strange. Also, nader takes away from Bush rather than Kerry. Some very strange things in the breakdown of this poll.
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jfern
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« Reply #4 on: October 06, 2004, 01:58:31 AM »

Don't know any specifics, like dates or anything else, but they just reported it on Fox as:

Bush- 48%
Kerry- 45%

Likely voters, I believe.

Two Way LVs

Bush 48
Kerry 45

Gain of 1% for Bush vs last OD poll

Three Way LVs

Bush 47
Kerry 45
Nader 2

loss of 1% for Bush vs last OD Poll

here is the story:

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,134525,00.html

here are "the guts"

http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/100504_poll.pdf

Party ID is "about"

Indys 37%
Dems 36%
GOP 27%

Don't take this as accurate yet, I am still checking a few things...

If you reweight this poll to the "magic" 39/35/26 Bush lead by about 50.1 to 44.6 using the two way race demographics. - FWIW, for those of you that believe in these thngs.


Don't you Gallup supporters believe in crazy party ID swings?
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