UPI/CVoter daily tracking poll

[Seriously?]

FWIW, this tracker has gone from Clinton+7 to Clinton+2 as of yesterday ...

I'll keep an eye on the link going forward

UPI/CVoter Through 8/9 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +2.2%
Clinton 48.1%
Trump 45.9%
Other 6.1%

[Seriously?]

FWIW, this tracker has gone from Clinton+7 to Clinton+2 as of yesterday ...

No one cares about the trackers.

I do. They are good on aggregate for trends.

[Seriously?]

UPI/CVoter Through 8/10 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +4.3%
Clinton 49.5% (+1.4%)
Trump 45.2% (-.7%)
Other 5.4% (-.7%)

[Seriously?]

UPI/CVoter Through 8/10 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +4.3%
Clinton 49.5% (+1.4%)
Trump 45.2% (-.7%)
Other 5.4% (-.7%)

I give you props for posting numbers even when they don't look good for your party

Numbers are numbers at the end of the day.

There's a big difference between a political debate and the numbers that drive polling.

[Seriously?]

They took off releasing results over the weekend, but here's the last three days catching up.

UPI/CVoter Through 8/13 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +3.5%
Clinton 49.0% (-0.5%)
Trump 45.5% (+0.4%)
Other 5.5% (+0.2%)

UPI/CVoter Through 8/12 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +4.4%
Clinton 49.5% (-0.3%)
Trump 45.1% (--)
Other 5.3% (+0.2%)

UPI/CVoter Through 8/11 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +4.7%
Clinton 49.8% (+0.3%)
Trump 45.1% (-0.1%)
Other 5.1% (-0.3%)

Note: Sum of numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding.

[Seriously?]

UPI/CVoter Through 8/14 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +5.8%
Clinton 50.5% (+1.5%)
Trump 44.7% (-0.8%)
Other 4.9% (-0.6%)

Note: This poll rounds to two digits, which makes the breakdown percentages not balance when rounding to first decimal.

[Seriously?]

UPI/CVoter Through 8/15 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +6.5%
Clinton 50.7% (+0.2%)
Trump 44.2% (-0.5%)
Other 5.1% (+0.2%)

[Seriously?]

UPI/CVoter Through 8/16 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +6.5%
Clinton 50.8% (+0.1%)
Trump 44.3% (+0.1%)
Other 4.9% (-0.2%)

[Seriously?]

UPI/CVoter Through 8/20 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +0.7%
Clinton 48.2% (-1.3%)
Trump 47.5% (+1.6%)
Other 4.3% (-0.4%)

Source: http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2016/08/22/UPICVoter-poll-Donald-Trump-sticks-to-script-comes-to-within-1-of-Hillary-Clintons-lead/3141471867581/

Original Track ending 8/9 per Tender Branson
50.4% Clinton
43.1% Trump

Original Post with numbers from 8/10-16: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=242931.0

Moved so the subject line can change daily when I enter the results.

[Seriously?]

You know this is just gonna get combined with Tenders thread, right?

I don't care how they do it so long as there's either nothing in the percentage difference (like the PPD tracker) or I have the ability to change the subject line as the poll changes. It's been Clinton +7 probably one or two days over the last two weeks, so it's not accurate as the poll changes over time.

[Seriously?]

Catching up from the weekend results, not posted by UPI/CVoter.

UPI/CVoter Through 8/20 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +0.7%
Clinton 48.2% (-1.3%)
Trump 47.5% (+1.6%)
Other 4.3% (-0.4%)

UPI/CVoter Through 8/19 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +3.6%
Clinton 49.5% (+0.3%)
Trump 45.9% (--%)
Other 4.7% (-0.2%)

UPI/CVoter Through 8/18 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +3.3%
Clinton 49.2% (-0.5%)
Trump 45.9% (+0.4%)
Other 4.9% (--%)

UPI/CVoter Through 8/17 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +4.2%
(original post of thread)
Clinton 49.7% (-1.1%)
Trump 45.5% (+1.2%)
Other 4.9% (--%)

[Seriously?]

UPI/CVoter Through 8/21 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +0.8%
Clinton 48.0% (-0.2%)
Trump 47.2% (-0.3%)
Other 4.8% (+0.5%)

[Seriously?]

UPI/CVoter Through 8/22 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +0.9%
Clinton 48.4% (+0.4%)
Trump 47.5% (+0.3%)
Other 4.2% (-0.6%)

[Seriously?]

UPI/CVoter Through 8/23 (7-day rolling average) Trump +0.7%
Trump 48.3% (+0.8%)
Clinton 47.6% (-0.8%)
Other 4.1% (-0.1%)

The Donald takes his first lead for the first time since we were tracking this poll. First lead since 7/30.

Source: http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2016/08/25/UPICVoter-poll-Donald-Trump-leading-Hillary-Clinton-for-first-time-in-weeks/8291472137479/

[Seriously?]

UPI/CVoter Through 8/24 (7-day rolling average) Trump +0.8%
Trump 48.5% (+0.2%)
Clinton 47.7% (+0.1%)
Other 3.7% (-0.4%)

Source: http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2016/08/26/UPICVoter-poll-Donald-Trump-maintains-slim-lead-over-Hillary-Clinton/4311472221679/

[Seriously?]

Catching up from over the weekend. It's now Hillary +3, based entirely on Saturday's sample/the roll-off of 8/20.

UPI/CVoter Through 8/27 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +3.0%
Clinton 49.9% (+1.4%)
Trump 46.9% (-1.6%)
Other 3.2% (+0.3%)

UPI/CVoter Through 8/26 (7-day rolling average) Trump +0.1%
Trump 48.6% (+0.3%)
Clinton 48.5% (-0.5%)
Other 2.9% (+0.2%)

UPI/CVoter Through 8/25 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +0.7%
Clinton 49.0% (+1.3%)
Trump 48.3% (-0.2%)
Other 2.7% (-1.0%)

Note: UPI does not release their polling results on weekends.

Source: http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2016/08/29/UPICVoter-poll-Hillary-Clinton-regains-lead-over-Donald-Trump/5511472472098/

[Seriously?]

CLINTON SURGING!!11!!1!1

jk daily tracking polls continue to prove dumb

How?

As in dumb for trying to discern trends since they seem to be all over the place. Yes they are expected to have swings, but it'd be a lot simpler if we just stuck with an average of normal national polls.

As far as I am concerned, it's just another data point. All data points have value.

[Seriously?]

UPI/CVoter Through 8/28 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +3.1%
Clinton 49.9% (--%)
Trump 46.8% (-0.1%)
Other 3.4% (+0.2%)

[Seriously?]

UPI/CVoter Through 8/29 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +2.7%
Clinton 49.7% (-0.2%)
Trump 47.0% (+0.2%)
Other 3.2% (-0.2%)

[Seriously?]

UPI/CVoter Through 8/30 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +2.8%
Clinton 48.9% (-0.8%)
Trump 46.1% (-0.9%)
Other 5.0% (+1.8%)

Other wins the day!

[Seriously?]

UPI/CVoter Through 8/31 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +2.2%
Clinton 48.3% (-0.6%)
Trump 46.1% (--%)
Other 5.6% (+0.6%)

Other keeps on growing,

[Seriously?]

Catching up over the weekend.

UPI/CVoter Through 9/3 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +3.9%
Clinton 49.4% (+0.1%)
Trump 45.5% (+0.4%)
Other 5.1% (-0.5%)

UPI/CVoter Through 9/2 (7-day rolling average) Clinton+4.2%
Clinton 49.3% (+0.3%)
Trump 45.1% (-0.4%)
Other 5.6% (--%)

UPI/CVoter Through 9/1 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +3.5%
Clinton 49.0% (+0.7%)
Trump 45.5% (-0.6%)
Other 5.6% (--%)

Note: UPI does not release their polling results on weekends.

Source: http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2016/09/05/UPICVoter-poll-Hillary-Clinton-edges-out-Donald-Trump-with-385-point-lead/2051473089153/

[Seriously?]

UPI/CVoter Through 9/4 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +2.1%
Clinton 48.6% (-0.8%)
Trump 46.5% (+1.0%)
Other 5.0% (-0.1%)

[Seriously?]

UPI/CVoter Through 9/4 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +2.1%
Clinton 48.6% (-0.8%)
Trump 46.5% (+1.0%)
Other 5.0% (-0.1%)

That one day where Clinton jumped 3 points in a day dropped off the survey so it is still good to see a Clinton lead here. Even though I think all the trackers are junk this is probably the least junky

My guess is the plausible MOE right now is somewhere between the CNN/ORC Trump+2 and Clinton +5. This poll falls in line with those numbers.

[Seriously?]

UPI/CVoter Through 9/5 (7-day rolling average) Clinton +2.0%
Clinton 48.1% (-0.5%)
Trump 46.1% (-0.4%)
Other 5.8% (+0.8%)