New Tradesports rankings

[Eraserhead]

McCain is now running ahead of Giuliani most of the time in the "odds to win the GOP nomination market", but is still behind him in the general election market, reflecting the market's belief that Giuliani is the better general election candidate.

Also, we've now had some transactions in the IA and NH markets.  Current prices:

IA
Clinton 38.0
Edwards 38.0
Obama 15.0
Gore 8.0

Giuliani 28.0
McCain 24.0
Thompson 24.0
Romney 20.0

NH
Clinton 58.0
Obama 20.0
Edwards 14.0
Gore 10.0

Giuliani 35.0
McCain 27.0
Romney 25.0
Thompson 14.0

Those seem a little wacky.

[Eraserhead]

Romney has also surpassed both Gore and Thompson in the "winning individual" market, and is now at 10.6.

I find it hilarious that there are people who actually think Romney could win a general election in 2008.

[Eraserhead]

You would think that Hillary would take a hit from her poor showings in the recent Iowa polls.

[Eraserhead]

Obama rebounds.

The guy who was too chicken to be in the Republican debate gains the most. McCain might as well get in a tank, because there's a lot of tank in his campaign. Paul isn't quite as overrated any more.

Many agree that McCain actually won last night's debate.

You only count as one person.

http://www.boston.com/news/nation/articles/2007/06/06/by_standing_alone_mccain_finds_a_chance_to_stand_out/
http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2007/06/06/215592.aspx

I thought McCain won the debate too but I'm a Democrat. That may be a bad sign for him.

[Eraserhead]

Obama is surging because of the Gallup Poll that came out showing him leading Hillary by a point for the first time and more importantly because of the fundraising buzz (which indicates that he will beat Clinton by a wide margin this quater).

[Eraserhead]

Obama is surging because of the Gallup Poll that came out showing him leading Hillary by a point for the first time and more importantly because of the fundraising buzz (which indicates that he will beat Clinton by a wide margin this quater).

It will be interesting to see, then, if Obama can turn cash into votes the way Romney has.

Not sure what you mean by that. Obama is doing much better than Romney nationally. Romney is doing better in New Hamphire and Iowa I suppose, if thats what mean...

[Eraserhead]

It looks like Paul might pass McCain.

That is beyond strange.

[Eraserhead]

I would expect Gore to go up quite a bit if there is any truth to this latest bit of news regarding him.

[Eraserhead]

Did Paul's fundraising go well this quater?

[Eraserhead]

Did Paul's fundraising go well this quater?

I heard he was supposed to raise $4-5 million.

Not too bad.

[Eraserhead]

Why the hell is Ron Paul so high?

Ron Paul owns the internets.

[Eraserhead]

Bad polling on the way for Clinton perhaps?

[Eraserhead]

Bad polling on the way for Clinton perhaps?

I doubt there's any amount of insider trading going on at Tradesports.  It's gotta be based on Obama's strong fundraising quarter.

I'm sure it mostly is but you never know...

[Eraserhead]

Gore is finally starting to tank.

Why is Bloomberg still included in the GOP nominee market?

Because some idiots have bought stock of him and haven't been able to sell it (I wonder why?)

I find it amusing that 5 people who aren't running are ahead of Brownback.

It's because "Live Earth" sucked.

[Eraserhead]

With Gore finally receding somewhat, Bloomberg has surpassed him in the "winning individual" market, and he's now rated as the 6th most likely person to win the general election:

Clinton 27.0
Obama 23.0
Thomspon 18.4
Giuliani 18.2
Romney 8.0
Bloomberg 4.3
Gore 4.0
Edwards 3.9
McCain 3.3

Also, Gore's chances of running are now rated at 22%, while Bloomberg's chances of running are at 45%.

Only 45% for Bloomberg? Strange. It seems pretty clear he is going to run.

[Eraserhead]

Richardson should move up after this debate i would think.

I agree.

[Eraserhead]

At 6.7 Edwards is a good deal, especially considering he's leading in Iowa.

[Eraserhead]

Wow Clinton is really inflated. Too many people are buying into the hype of the almost pointless national polls.

[Eraserhead]

Gore '08

Come on friend. Pick a candidate in the running.

[Eraserhead]

Huckabee would be a terrific candidate if not for the evolution flub.  There's no way in hell I could support a candidate like that.

I wouldn't go as far as to call him a terrific candidate but I also would have been a bit more open to the idea of him becoming President if it wasn't for his stand against science.

[Eraserhead]

From what I saw of the debate, Richardson did fine (at least if I try to view things from the perspective of what a Democratic primary voter would think), so I don't think his drop has much to do with his debate performance.

How did Obama, Clinton and Edwards do?

[Eraserhead]

The Clinton thing is getting a little absurd.

[Eraserhead]

It's absolutely absurd how high Hillary is.

[Eraserhead]

It's absolutely absurd how high Hillary is.

no, it's absurd that she's not in the 80's.

What happened to teh Biden Harry?

[Eraserhead]

It's absolutely absurd how high Hillary is.

no, it's absurd that she's not in the 80's.

What happened to teh Biden Harry?

Nothing?

True.