Trend Map is more revelant for 2016 Presidential Election:2004/2012 or 2008/2012

[old timey villain]

Scott Walker would win Hawaii?

Riiiiiiiiiight.........

......it's a trend map. "rolls eyes"

Trend map or not, Hawaii could not be won by a R.

You obviously don't know what we are talking about here, so bye.
(unless you want to know )

Sure, fill me in. I must be missing the picture.

Trend is the direction a state moves relative to the nation as a whole when comparing the previous election. So let's say Walker wins against Hillary in 2016. Obviously Walker will win Utah but it might only swing a point to Walker compared to Romney's overperformance there while the national vote might swing 5 points compared to 2012. So Utah swings to Walker but trends to Hillary.

[old timey villain]

Hey, yeah, so instead of only Walker, which some of you here only test, let's try some other Republican candidates, maybe?

Okay: Rand Paul vs Clinton

Clinton wins by 8 points (My dream scenario)

National swing is about 4 points to the left

States that trend D:
Tennessee
Missouri
Arkansas
West Virginia


States that trend R:
Most of the northeast
Kentucky
Plains states
Colorado
California