YouGov/Economist national poll:Clinton leads Bush/Christie/Huckabee by 12-14 pts (user search)
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  YouGov/Economist national poll:Clinton leads Bush/Christie/Huckabee by 12-14 pts (search mode)
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Author Topic: YouGov/Economist national poll:Clinton leads Bush/Christie/Huckabee by 12-14 pts  (Read 1957 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« on: May 04, 2015, 02:18:51 AM »
« edited: May 04, 2015, 02:26:49 AM by Wulfric »

Another outlier which is not supported by recent state polls.

Recent state polls indicate Hillary is ahead of Bush by a 4-8% margin nationally, as well as other top Republicans.

Christie and Huckabee might be down by 8-10%.

I think Tender has declared more polls to than to be inliers lately.

Apparently the only gold standard.for polling these days is Christopher Newport University

So, you are ignoring basically all state polls recently which show that Hillary does no better than Obama in 2008 or 2012, which further means that Hillary can only be ahead by 5-10% nationally against the top GOPers ?

It's not only Christopher Newport University, it's also PPP, Quinnipiac, SUSA, Mason-Dixon etc.

If you are not seeing the pattern, you must be blind ...

Many recent polls have shown Hillary doing better than Obama in 2008. SUSA/Elon in NC, PPP in NH, Quinnipiac in OH. Marquette for WI and PPP for FL show her doing better than Obama 2012. There's some on the other side as well, like PPP in IA, CNU in VA, and Quinnipiac in PA/FL, but it's not exactly an overwhelming case.

This poll does match the aggregate anyway.



The only sensible polls at this point are the ones among RVs. If we take out LV and all adults polls, we get this aggregate:



This seems much more believable.
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