Who will be Trump's pick for Supreme Court? (user search)
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  Who will be Trump's pick for Supreme Court? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: ??
#1
Brett Kavanaugh
 
#2
Amy Coney Barrett
 
#3
Ray Kethledge
 
#4
Amul Thapar
 
#5
Other
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 91

Author Topic: Who will be Trump's pick for Supreme Court?  (Read 4507 times)
Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« on: July 04, 2018, 10:44:49 AM »

From the rumblings I’ve heard it’s Kavanaugh
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,571
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« Reply #1 on: July 05, 2018, 10:04:59 AM »

According to John Roberts of Fox News, Kavanaugh and Kethledge are the front runners https://mobile.twitter.com/johnrobertsFox/status/1014847165909360641
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #2 on: July 05, 2018, 10:55:16 AM »

Here is a snippet that suggests where Kethledge might be vulnerable. It is not good to be reversed on a 4th amendment search case, and that combined with the anti union rap creates a headwind.  I think he is probably OK on the religious liberty opinions. I say all of this not having read any of the opinions.
 
"Kethledge has issued opinions in favor of religious liberty, including one upholding legislative prayer, as well as a Second Amendment opinion that will please those who believe lower courts are ignoring Justice Antonin Scalia's landmark opinion in District of Columbia v. Heller, which held that the Second Amendment protects an individual's right to bear arms.

'His critics worry about an anti-union opinion he issued in a case brought by public school employees. Kethledge also penned an opinion holding that the government's collection of business records containing cell-site locational data was not a search under the Fourth Amendment. That case was recently reversed at the Supreme Court in a 5-4 opinion written by Chief Justice John Roberts."

There is not much room for error here, giving a reason for the Collins, Donnelly, Manchin and Heitkamp to vote against the nominee, in the case of the Dems an excuse to vote no, and not go down in flames in their re-election efforts.  

Hence, part of why I think it’ll be Kavanaugh; he’d be the hardest to get folks riled up about.  He’d be a Trump hack on issues involving the Mueller probe, executive power, etc and should be a good bet to always tow the Republican line, but he seems like a smart guy whose committee hearing would like be similar to the one Gorsuch had.  Barrett has tons of backage, belongs to a sexist cult that also seems to have pissed off quite a few Catholics, doesn’t seem like as much of an intellectual heavyweight, and is also the most likely to screw up the hearing/have skeletons come out which force Collins and one other Senator to vote no.  Unlikely, but it’s definitely a real risk with her.  

As you noted with Kethledge, while he would likely get confirmed, he has a long record of opinions which are ripe for attack.  Kavanaugh is the safest pick both for Trump and the Republican Party overall (although all three will obviously be horrible justices).
But the weird part if Kavanaugh is getting the most pushback from the R’s in the senate
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,571
United States


« Reply #3 on: July 07, 2018, 10:24:57 AM »

Apparently Barrett wrote a law article in 2016 that said that as an originalist that she is against Brown v the Board of Education
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