Most likely Republican nominee in 2024 (November 2017) (user search)
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  Most likely Republican nominee in 2024 (November 2017) (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Who do you think is the most likely Republican nominee in 2024?
#1
Mike Pence		  
#2
Marco Rubio		  
#3
Ted Cruz		  
#4
Scott Walker		  
#5
Tom Cotton		  
#6
Ben Sasse		  
#7
Nikki Haley		  
#8
Paul Ryan		  
#9
Someone else currently in Congress/statewide elected position		  
#10
Someone else		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 122

Author Topic: Most likely Republican nominee in 2024 (November 2017)  (Read 16959 times)
Skill and Chance
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Posts: 12,684
« on: November 08, 2017, 04:01:00 PM »
It pretty much has to be Pence, because you have to consider the odds that 1. Trump gets reelected, in which case he is the clear favorite.  2. Trump retires or resigns and Pence wins in 2020, in which case he would be a 1st term incumbent.  3.  Trump loses in 2020 and Pence pulls a Mondale in 2024.

When you add that all up, he has to be the most likely.
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