VA
Northam wins by 10.
Republicans hold the House 52-48
I think that HoD prediction is a bit bullish. I think Reps lose 5-7 seats.
That sounds pretty reasonable. To lose 14 seats would take a massive wave, imo. Clinton just barely carried a majority of HoD districts, and it is relatively common for an entrenched majority party to carry districts their party's presidential candidate lost for some time before actually losing them downballot.
I'd put a ceiling for GOP HoD losses at around 10 or so tops, but to be honest, if there is any year where Democrats could max out that ceiling, or even surpass it, it might just be this year. Trump is extremely unpopular in VA and this growing universe of scandals he is enveloped in is really dragging down the GOP brand at a historic pace.
We'll see soon enough 
It will be interesting to see if Bob Marshall finally loses in Prince William county. If Dems are picking up more than 5 or 6 seats in the HOD, Marshall almost certainly loses.
