The Institute of 2012 GOP nomination Intrade rankings

[Bacon King]

I need a thousand-sided di. (die, sp?)

http://rolz.org/

(20 seconds on google lol)

just type Xd1000 into the box in the top left corner, with X being the number of dice you want to roll.

[Bacon King]

If I had money to play with on Intrade, I'd buy Cain shares at that price.

[Bacon King]

Romny has no path to the nomination...short him

Romney's path to the nomination, in order of the early primary dates:

lose IA
win NH
win NV while losing SC
win FL
lose GA
win ME
win NJ, MN, and ND while losing MO
win WA?
win NV
win WI?
win MI while losing AZ
Super Tuesday: win MA, VA, VT, CO, ID; lose OK, TN, TX

That's 14-16 out of 24 at that point. Then Romney would just have to keep his momentum steady through the six primaries that are later in March until he sweeps all the April primaries (DC, MD, CT, DE, NY, PA, RI). And if there's still a fight even then, he just has to coast until he wins California in June and mathematically locks up the nomination.

Not saying this will happen, of course- but it's a viable path to nomination for him.

[Bacon King]

Does anyone here bet on Intrade? I've been thinking about getting an account; how difficult is it to make money if you bet smart?

[Bacon King]

Cain share price down 40% so far today

[Bacon King]

Huntsman is higher for the Primary than he is for NH?

Intrade is too low volume to be a genuinely efficient market. You'll see disparities like that from time to time. For example, it's not too uncommon to see a candidate have a higher chance to win the general election than win the primary.