NYC 2009 Mayoral Race OFFICIAL RESULTS THREAD: INTERESTING NEWS TO REPORT (user search)
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  NYC 2009 Mayoral Race OFFICIAL RESULTS THREAD: INTERESTING NEWS TO REPORT (search mode)
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Author Topic: NYC 2009 Mayoral Race OFFICIAL RESULTS THREAD: INTERESTING NEWS TO REPORT  (Read 14991 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
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« on: November 03, 2009, 09:52:42 PM »
NY Times website has pretty maps and stuff
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,748
United Kingdom


« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2009, 10:15:00 PM »
lol
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
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Posts: 67,748
United Kingdom


« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2009, 10:16:56 PM »
Republicans lead in five City Council districts - three in Queens (two of which are on a knife edge), two on Staten Island.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,748
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2009, 10:34:23 PM »
Bloomberg 49.6, Thompson 47.0 - 83% in.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,748
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2009, 11:07:43 PM »
I will now accept my accolades

I tried to tell you what was going on.  I really tried.  This looks like a landslide close race, folks.

(for those not here in 2004: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=12005.msg265848#msg265848)
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,748
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2009, 11:38:33 PM »
Map!



59 is a surprise. And, yeah, Hispanic areas swung the wrong way.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,748
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« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2009, 12:05:41 AM »
Quote from: patrick1 on November 03, 2009, 11:43:55 PM
Nice map Al.  Quick glance is that is pretty much a racial map of NYC.

With a few odd exceptions (or what look like odd exceptions), yeah. I might do a proper analysis thing tomorrow.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,748
United Kingdom


« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2009, 12:21:02 AM »
Summary of the City Council results... laughably lopsided, so why bother. But five Republicans now, three of them from Queens; 20 and 19 were both gained. Republican challengers in 30 and 43 were beaten easily, though.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,748
United Kingdom


« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2009, 07:03:08 AM »
What's interesting is that the polarisation seems a little less than in some past races - Staten Island certainly seems to have been less overwhelming in its support for Bloomberg than it has been in the past or than it was for Giuliani. I wonder whether Bloomberg changing the rules might have something to do with that.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,748
United Kingdom


« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2009, 08:09:10 AM »
Apparently the Republican who picked up the open Avella seat is a "pagan".
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,748
United Kingdom


« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2009, 03:54:06 PM »
Part one of a very basic demographic analysis that I've done elsewhere:

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The majority-white-in-2000 districts that voted for Thompson are 50 and 59 - both by very small margins.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,748
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« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2009, 08:11:05 PM »
Part two...

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The third (and probably final) part will look at patterns relating to ethnicity.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,748
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« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2009, 01:10:14 PM »
Thompson seems to have polled a plurality on the Democratic line. For those interested in such things.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,748
United Kingdom


« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2009, 01:25:35 PM »
Results at block level...

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2009/11/04/nyregion/mayor-vote.html?th&emc=th
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
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Posts: 67,748
United Kingdom


« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2009, 06:38:22 PM »
The last part of the very basic AD analysis...

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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,748
United Kingdom


« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2009, 06:42:31 PM »
Quote from: jro660 on November 05, 2009, 06:40:49 PM
I don't get the " (n%) Bloomberg (#), Thompson (#)" thing. Can someone explain it to me.

The percentage is a census variable (say over 29% Italian). The Bloomberg and Thompson numbers are the number of Assembly districts that fit the census variable that were won by each candidate.
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