These demographics show this for the rest of the United States.
Hillary Clinton/Elizabeth Warren 314 EV's 52.1%Donald Trump/Newt Gingrich 224 EV's 46.8%Basically, what happened in this map was that Clinton's gains with Hispanics and large victories with AAs were countered by Trump's gains with Whites.
Iowa went R in the 538 model. Ohio went D in the RCP model.
The closest states were Florida (D+3.0%), Iowa (D+2.7%), Michigan (D+5.0%), Minnesota (D+4.6%), New Hampshire (D+2.5%), Ohio (R+1.0%), Pennsylvania (D+3.0%), Virginia (D+1.7%), and Wisconsin (D+3.1%).
Also, assuming a uniform swing, Trump would have to do better by at least 3% nationally before he wins the electoral vote.