WA: Strategic Vision: Cantwell(D) has substantial lead on McGavick(R) (user search)
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  WA: Strategic Vision: Cantwell(D) has substantial lead on McGavick(R) (search mode)
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Author Topic: WA: Strategic Vision: Cantwell(D) has substantial lead on McGavick(R)  (Read 1291 times)
Cubby
Pim Fortuyn
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,067
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -3.74, S: -6.96

« on: October 31, 2006, 09:44:06 PM »

Could someone fill me in on how this race went from a possible tossup early this year to a clear win for Cantwell now? She's still in the low 50's in all the recent polls. Did the McGavick campaign implode?

Also, what are the chances that Cantwell will win swing places like Spokane and Clark Counties.

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Cubby
Pim Fortuyn
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,067
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -3.74, S: -6.96

« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2006, 01:14:33 AM »

The split between the coast and the interior is very noticable. I guess Eastern Washington has more in common with the Idaho Panhandle than the Seattle Metro area.

Now if Cantwell wins Lewis County, we'll know this is a truly historic election. We once had a discussion on here about why that was the only place in Western Washington to vote consistently Republican.

I just looked at the WA Senate and Gov. maps and it seems that Spokane and a few ID border counties can vote Dem. on occasion, but the rural central part of the state never does. Not only was there a geographical split but all the elections seem to be narrow/moderate Democrat wins. I assume this is simply due to the greater population along the coast. There were never any landslides, just 50-58% wins.
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