MS Megathread: Hyde-Smith wins by 8

[SCNCmod]

I thought Espy getting 40% (only 1pt behind Hyde-Smith) ... was pretty impressive.  I realize the run off is a stretch- but we can always hope that maybe Dems will still turn out big/ and enough R's will not bother voting.

[Gustaf]

lol no

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

It’s a long shot for sure, but better to save the money for 2020, since races then will actually flip the senate.

[smoltchanov]

No, obviously.

[UWS]

Not a chance. Based on Tuesday's results, if you combine Hyde-Smith numbers with McDaniel's, it would make 58 % of the vote for CHS in the runoff.

[Calthrina950]

Not a chance. Based on Tuesday's results, if you combine Hyde-Smith numbers with McDaniel's, it would make 58 % of the vote for CHS in the runoff.

That much is true. Hyde-Smith will dispatch Espy with ease. The fates of McCaskill, Bredesen, Donnelly, and Heitkamp have proven to me, beyond a shadow of a doubt, that the Democrats are done at the Senate level in every Republican state for a very long time to come. John Bell Edwards is in serious jeopardy in Louisiana next year, and I doubt Jim Hood will win in Mississippi either. Polarization has gotten too strong.

[UWS]

Not a chance. Based on Tuesday's results, if you combine Hyde-Smith numbers with McDaniel's, it would make 58 % of the vote for CHS in the runoff.

That much is true. Hyde-Smith will dispatch Espy with ease. The fates of McCaskill, Bredesen, Donnelly, and Heitkamp have proven to me, beyond a shadow of a doubt, that the Democrats are done at the Senate level in every Republican state for a very long time to come. John Bell Edwards is in serious jeopardy in Louisiana next year, and I doubt Jim Hood will win in Mississippi either. Polarization has gotten too strong.

The same for Mike Beebe in Arkansas.

[Oryxslayer]

Somewhere beyond the Second Standard Deviation, so as close to No as one can get while still leaving a crack open for a potential upset.

[Calthrina950]

Not a chance. Based on Tuesday's results, if you combine Hyde-Smith numbers with McDaniel's, it would make 58 % of the vote for CHS in the runoff.

That much is true. Hyde-Smith will dispatch Espy with ease. The fates of McCaskill, Bredesen, Donnelly, and Heitkamp have proven to me, beyond a shadow of a doubt, that the Democrats are done at the Senate level in every Republican state for a very long time to come. John Bell Edwards is in serious jeopardy in Louisiana next year, and I doubt Jim Hood will win in Mississippi either. Polarization has gotten too strong.

The same for Mike Beebe in Arkansas.

Beebe, I think, will not run. I'm sure he saw what happened two nights ago to Bredesen, so that should dissuade him. Moreover, Arkansas seems to be even more Republican now than Tennessee.

[wbrocks67]

New Roy Moore?

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2018/11/11/hyde-smith-jokes-public-hanging/1970396002/

[wbrocks67]

Espy's only possible route is a hugely energized black turnout, with a bit of a depressed white turnout. Could happen. Dems have also shown they've been more energized in special elections.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

https://mobile.twitter.com/LamarWhiteJr/status/1061649185110417408

This statement will probably help her campaign. Mississippi is gonna Mississippi.

[wbrocks67]

https://mobile.twitter.com/LamarWhiteJr/status/1061649185110417408

This statement will probably help her campaign. Mississippi is gonna Mississippi.

Not necessarily. Alabama is a crazy situation but it's clear that black turnout was insanely energized due to Moore's racist comments.

[7,052,770]

This alone won't really hurt her, but it does show how in over her head she is. Terrible pick by Bryant, just like everyone warned him.

[IceSpear]

Espy's only possible route is a hugely energized black turnout, with a bit of a depressed white turnout. Could happen. Dems have also shown they've been more energized in special elections.

This won't depress white turnout in Mississippi though. It will energize it.

[OneJ]

Espy's only possible route is a hugely energized black turnout, with a bit of a depressed white turnout. Could happen. Dems have also shown they've been more energized in special elections.

This won't depress white turnout in Mississippi though. It will energize it.

And that’s the sad part.

[IceSpear]

Anyone following this guy's feed? Johns Hopkins PhD candidate (originally from MS) convinced we're headed for an Espy/McDaniel runoff based on Google trends, GOTV, and enthusiasm.

https://twitter.com/Yoknapatawpha86/status/1052768200344199169

Looks like they deleted their Twitter out of embarrassment at this stinker of a prediction, lol.

[Former Kentuckian]

If this energizes Black voters, it's gonna energize racist white voters just as much or more

[Landslide Lyndon]

Adamantium R.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I hope Espy can find a way to win, this and Florida flipping would result in the GOP having no net gain in the Senate.

[Aurelio21]

CHS could be found in bed with a living girl, a dead boy or as dominatrix whipping Phil Bryant, and still win this. She only has to say one sentence "I am 100 % with Mr Trump".

[IceSpear]

No white voters in MS will see this as racist

The 5% of whites that voted for Hillary might.

[Mr. Smith]

Hopefully this one's a bit closer to Florida or Texas than Tennessee, but I'm not holding my breath that it will even be as close as TN.

[7,052,770]

Cindy claims it's an "old saying." I've never heard it in my life, but I will concede that there have been times in my life where I've been surprised to learn a phrase I'd never heard before has turned out to be a thing rural Mississippians really do say.

[ElectionsGuy]

This will have no impact on the election.