MS Megathread: Hyde-Smith wins by 8

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Non-partisan ...?

Meaning there are no official nominees and all candidates are listed without party affiliation. Kind of like Mayoral elections in Chicago, I believe.

Still an oxymoron.

Why would candidates be listed without party affiliation in a US Senate race? Louisiana, California, and Georgia (only for special elections) have nonpartisan primaries with affiliation on listed on the ballot.

Because Mississippi law doesn't allow affiliation listing for Special Elections.

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

^ Yep. And Jim Hood, if you're reading this, you have my Enthusiastic Endorsement if you choose to run.

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Who do y'all think would get appointed to Cochran's seat if he resigns?

Maybe one of the row officers - perhaps Stacy Pickering (Auditor).

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

I'm in the dark. Do we know what these elusive health problems are specifically?

Sounds like the onset of dementia. Evidently, he's been existing in sort of a daze for the last few months - making the wrong votes, uttering non-sequiturs during debate, etc.

Example of the bolded part?

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

McDaniel will announce against Wicker tomorrow night.

Given that the CL is a historically bad publication and the lack of discipline or cohesion among McDaniel staff/surrogates, the Wednesday announcement could just as likely be about running for Lt Gov in 2019.

Also, why would McDaniel prefer to challenge Wicker instead of wait for the special?

Because the Cochran is resigning rumors may not have any truth to them.

Presley has filed to run.

uhh.... wrong presley. and that's arkansas lol

ROFL

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

I'm rooting for McDaniel. It can only end well. If he wins, according to this site (https://www.realchrismcdaniel.com), he'll be a check on DJT's administration in the way Flake has been. If he loses, another Deep South Dem seat.

Since when has Senator Flake been a check on Trump?

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Remember that Evangelicals have 1984'd themselves and no longer think adultery is bad.

This.

Likely R based on state history until we get a sense of who the democrats are actually running here. I'll provide a more complex analysis once we know if it's Hood, Presley, or someone else entirely.

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

If the math works out just perfectly: D V D RUNOFF!!!

Presley 25%
Espy 20%
McDaniel 19%
Hyde 17%
Taggart 15%
Other 4%

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

And if they do, what's the best strategy for victory?

Remember, if Dems win this race along with the still-too-close-to-call contests in Arizona and Florida, the Senate will be composed exactly as it was before: 51 GOP and 49 Dem.

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

I hope Espy can find a way to win, this and Florida flipping would result in the GOP having no net gain in the Senate.

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Candidate   Party   Votes   Pct.
Cindy Hyde-Smith*
Republican
150,897   55.8%
Mike Espy
Democrat
119,727   44.2
270,624 votes, 38% reporting (680 of 1,797 precincts)