dazzleman
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Posts: 13,777 Political Matrix E: 1.88, S: 1.59
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« on: August 13, 2005, 10:05:39 PM » |
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This is a very interesting one.
Clearly, the political climate in 1980, when Reagan ran and won, was radically different than 1976.
In 1976 the country was still obsessed with Watergate and Vietnam, and it was only election of the second half of the Cold War that the Democrats won, having effectively gone over to the other side of the Cold War.
I'm not sure the country was ready for Reagan in 1976. But I'm also not at all sure the country would have voted for Kennedy, regardless of who was running against him. I think he stood a better chance though in 1976 than in the more conservative climate of 1980. But of course, if he couldn't beat Carter in 1980, who could he beat?
I'm going to bet that Reagan would have won, but that it would have been relatively close.
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