Labour Party leadership election 2015

[minionofmidas]

If it is then its a rather poor predictor of who actually ends up holding the post. Over the centuries we have had some very odd and very unlikely PMs.

Churchill comes to mind.

[minionofmidas]

But as a more serious point, I will reiterate that the main electoral impact of larger seats with tighter quotas would be to a) greatly increase the impact of national swing while also b) reducing the power of incumbency.

So in effect each seat will have around 75,000 electors compared to 70,000 at present.

What's the main reason for reducing the number of MP's from 650 to 600?

Keeping commuterbelt backbenchers' seats intact.

[minionofmidas]

Since when do these SUK avatars exist?

[minionofmidas]

A pretty transparent attempt to scare people on the Labour Right into a) mobilising and b) to cast tight preference chains: I personally wouldn't believe even a published poll of this sort of contest, let alone questionable leaks of supposed private 'polling'.

Still, there's no doubt that Corbyn is doing very well; maybe he really will top the poll. Actually winning would be much harder as he's unlikely to be transfer friendly. I think he would need a very large lead on first preferences and for their to be little transferring between the other candidates, which seems like a stretch.

Well if the fear of Corbyn mobilizes the right, and they vote Kendall first pref, maybe - maybe - a Corbyn vs Kendall last round is a possibility.

[minionofmidas]

You wonder how that would change if the issue became a serious one again.

Also Jas, you're posting on the wrong Atlas. Come to the dark side!