NY-20 Special Election
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Author Topic: NY-20 Special Election  (Read 179843 times)
Bandit3 the Worker
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #425 on: March 31, 2009, 08:17:30 PM »

After the media called that one election for Ernie Fletcher when the polls in western Kentucky weren't even closed yet, how can it be too early?
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Meeker
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« Reply #426 on: March 31, 2009, 08:18:04 PM »
Remind me again which county Murphy is from?
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cinyc
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« Reply #427 on: March 31, 2009, 08:19:21 PM »
My tally from the county BOE sites
Tedesco 12761 50.21%
Murphy 12656    49.79%
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #428 on: March 31, 2009, 08:19:46 PM »
Quote from: VP Meeker on March 31, 2009, 08:18:04 PM
Remind me again which county Murphy is from?

Warren, I believe.
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cinyc
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« Reply #429 on: March 31, 2009, 08:20:08 PM »
Quote from: VP Meeker on March 31, 2009, 08:18:04 PM
Remind me again which county Murphy is from?

Warren (Glenns Falls)
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Meeker
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« Reply #430 on: March 31, 2009, 08:20:52 PM »
Obviously it's early, but Murphy needs to start doing better in Saratoga...
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #431 on: March 31, 2009, 08:22:00 PM »
Still waiting before making some observations.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #432 on: March 31, 2009, 08:23:55 PM »
Once you have full county results, cinyc, that would be mighty helpful.
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Dan the Roman
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« Reply #433 on: March 31, 2009, 08:24:21 PM »
Tedisco is doing much better than McCain in Saratoga, Otsego, and Greene, but then again he represents that part of the district. The most democratic parts of the district, Washington and Dutchess, have not reported at all yet.
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cinyc
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« Reply #434 on: March 31, 2009, 08:24:26 PM »
Latest Update:

Tedesco 17530   51.17%
Murphy 16730          48.83%


100% Missing: Columbia, Ostego, Dutchess
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cinyc
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« Reply #435 on: March 31, 2009, 08:25:30 PM »
Quote from: Sam Spade on March 31, 2009, 08:23:55 PM
Once you have full county results, cinyc, that would be mighty helpful.


County   Murphy   Tedesco   SE D%
Columbia         #DIV/0!
Delaware         #DIV/0!
Dutchess         #DIV/0!
Essex   441   321   57.87%
Greene   1494   1982   42.98%
Ostego         #DIV/0!
Rensselaer   1457   1565   48.21%
Saratoga   5552   7665   42.01%
Warren   5759   4506   56.10%
Washington   2027   1491   57.62%
         
Total   16730   17530   48.83%
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #436 on: March 31, 2009, 08:26:01 PM »
Hmm... looking like a long night possibly... still very early though...
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #437 on: March 31, 2009, 08:28:41 PM »
Looks like its going to be fairly close.  Still need more results to really get a good guess.
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cinyc
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« Reply #438 on: March 31, 2009, 08:29:32 PM »
Update:
Tedesco 27,335       50.48%
Murphy  26,810   49.52%

Columbia and Ostego county BOE's websites stink - no results page.  Dutchess hasn't updated theirs, nor has Delaware.
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War on Want
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« Reply #439 on: March 31, 2009, 08:30:25 PM »
This looks close, I wish I paid more attention to the campaign here.
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Meeker
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« Reply #440 on: March 31, 2009, 08:30:51 PM »
Dutchess is 24/72 in, Murphy leads 51-49
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cinyc
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« Reply #441 on: March 31, 2009, 08:31:54 PM »
Change from 2006 D% (Positive is pro-Tedesco, Negative is pro-Murphy)
Columbia         
Delaware         
Dutchess         
Essex    -4.33%
Greene    4.30%
Ostego      
Rensselaer   5.15%
Saratoga           9.76%
Warren         -1.63%
Washington -4.26%
            
Total   3.58%
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Dan the Roman
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« Reply #442 on: March 31, 2009, 08:32:04 PM »
Quote from: VP Meeker on March 31, 2009, 08:30:51 PM
Dutchess is 24/72 in, Murphy leads 51-49

Not good for Murphy if it holds up.
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RI
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« Reply #443 on: March 31, 2009, 08:32:23 PM »
Perhaps I am a pessimist, but I am not getting a good feeling about this... :/
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #444 on: March 31, 2009, 08:33:43 PM »
Quote from: Senator Realisticidealist on March 31, 2009, 08:32:23 PM
Perhaps I am a pessimist, but I am not getting a good feeling about this... :/

Uh, Murphy is winning now.
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Meeker
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« Reply #445 on: March 31, 2009, 08:34:12 PM »
Murphy leads by 200 after a bump from Columbia...
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #446 on: March 31, 2009, 08:34:33 PM »
Still way too close to even attempt to call, folks.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #447 on: March 31, 2009, 08:34:38 PM »
I'm holding out hope for my Murphy by .6% prediction.
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Dan the Roman
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« Reply #448 on: March 31, 2009, 08:34:51 PM »
Quote from: Bandit3 the Worker on March 31, 2009, 08:33:43 PM
Quote from: Senator Realisticidealist on March 31, 2009, 08:32:23 PM
Perhaps I am a pessimist, but I am not getting a good feeling about this... :/

Uh, Murphy is winning now.

Not if your looking at the county sites.
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Alcon
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« Reply #449 on: March 31, 2009, 08:35:28 PM »
Tedisco 34,730 (51.0%)
Murphy 33,360 (49.0%)

Lame and useless: Columbia, Delaware, Dutchess, Otsego.  Got a link on any, cinyc?
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