Canadian by-elections, 2012

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Has the CC vote now stopped updating?

No.  1 more poll just came in.

[Hatman 🍁]

disaster. My girlfriend will be happy though.

[doktorb]

Has the CC vote now stopped updating?

No.  1 more poll just came in.

Ah yes, just noticed. A lot slower updates now!

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

disaster. My girlfriend will be happy though.

Is she one of the good guys (or rather girls) or a hippie?

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Has the CC vote now stopped updating?

No.  1 more poll just came in.

Ah yes, just noticed. A lot slower updates now!

4 more, and only 3 left in Dunham!

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

1 poll away from final Dunham results!

[Meeker]

Kind of neat that both competitive by-elections tonight were competitive between two different parties. Such diversity!

[doktorb]

CC
248/263

Con  9,834
Lib 8,569
Green 6,743

Durham
235/236

Con 17,029
NDP 8,843
Lib 5,818

Vic
175/256

Green 8,404
NDP 8,200
Con 3,262

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Durham is all in:

Green Party   Virginia Ervin   1,386   4.1   4.1%
Liberal   Grant Humes   5,887   17.3   17.3%
Christian Heritage Party   Andrew Moriarity   437   1.3   1.3%
Online Party   Michael Nicula   132   0.4   0.4%
NDP-New Democratic Party   Larry O'Connor   8,947   26.3   26.3%
Conservative   Erin O'Toole   17,281   50.7   50.7%

Polls reporting: 236/236   Voter turnout: 34,070 of 95,296 registered electors (35.8%)

[doktorb]

Durham

Con 50.7  down from 54.6
NDP 26.3 up from 21.1
Liberal 17.3 down from 17.9
Green 4.1 down from 5.4
Christian 1.3 up from 0.8
Online .4 from nowhere
((Libertarian .32, didn't stand))

[Hatman 🍁]

Where is this Dunham place you speak of?

Anyways, word is from the NDP camp that they have an 800 vote lead with 15 polls to go.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Where is this Dunham place you speak of?

Anyways, word is from the NDP camp that they have an 800 vote lead with 15 polls to go.

Yeah, yeah, yeah.  I made it all night until the end without screwing up.  And I don't think I've said, "center" all night!

[doktorb]

CC
252/263

Con 9,903 v Liberal 8,698

Victoria
185/256

NDP 9,342 v Green 9,144

[RogueBeaver]

Yep, a close Dipper victory seems most likely.

On a related note, did anyone see the Julian-May shouting match on PNP? That and Julian, shall we say, does not do stubble well. At all.

[Hatman 🍁]

Just read on Wikipedia that my former boss (Bruce Hyer) had been campaigning for the Greens in Victoria. Uh-oh.

[RogueBeaver]

Forget about a return to caucus then.

[doktorb]

NDP now through 10,000 votes in Victoria

[Hatman 🍁]

Forget about a return to caucus then.

Beware of the tree hugging gun nuts. Only in Canada

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

We're at 200 polls reporting in Victoria, and the NDP leads by 390 votes.

[Хahar 🤔]

By-election and all, but my god, I don't understand why anyone would vote for the Green Party.

[mileslunn]

Still awaiting the final results but so far an okay night for the Tories.  They got clobbered as expected in Victoria, held onto Calgary Centre albeit but a rather slim margin compared to what the normally get and they did get over 50% in Durham which at least in this case suggests they have by in large held onto their support in Ontario (although one should be cautious in reading too much into these results).  For the Liberals a fairly good night as despite their poor showing in Victoria and Durham (both ridings they won in the 90s I should note), they did come close to pulling off an upset in Calgary Centre, which suggests that maybe they shouldn't be so quick to write off Alberta, although I suspect many provincial PCs who were angry at the fact Crockatt comes from the WRA and is a little too right wing for the riding might have voted Liberal this time since it would affect the composition of parliament, but might be reluctant to do so in a general election.  

The NDP improved slightly in Durham, did poorly in Calgary Centre as expected, but could potentially lose Victoria which would be a huge upset if they do, but I still think they will hold it.

Green Party a good night even if they don't pick up anything as in both Calgary Centre and Victoria they did very well, although in a general election I somehow doubt they will maintain those numbers.

[Hatman 🍁]

Greens will try and target Victoria next election. It's their 2nd best election ever, I think

[RogueBeaver]

Xahar: May and Peter Julian got into a shouting match on a panel show tonight.

[2952-0-0]

I don't see how the Liberals can spin these results to their advantage. Even in Calgary Centre it can be argued the vast majority of Liberal voters are voting against Crockatt than for anything. The Conservatives can claim to have held onto their seat, but it's humiliating to have to fight for something they take for granted. The NDP are underperforming in all three ridings. So somehow, the Greens can claim victory even though they may not win any seats.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

NDP is now pulling away in Victoria.  They lead by 841 votes now.