Final results
CDP/DPP 47.4%
LDP 42.4%
JCP 7.0%
IND 1.6%
IND 1.0%
IND 0.6%
Another blow for Kishida. While not immediately fatal, it was the slow drip drip of election losses that lead to Suga's ouster.
He's almost certainly gone in September when the LDP meet to elect a new leader, especially when there are potential candidates testing the waters.
I've said before just how much I admire his dogged determination to cling to the office, but he's running out of options. He could try and gamble on a snap election, but really, he should've called one months ago when he was riding high and the CDP was flailing around. Now Izumi is presenting himself as a credible Prime Minister and the LDP hasn't had good news in ages.