Georgia's Very Own Megathread! (v2)

[wbrocks67]

According to Georgia Votes, an additional 32,899 valid votes were cast yesterday (Saturday); today's accepted ballot total stands at 515,399 votes: 20.21% of total 2014 turnout.

Early vote totals are 213% higher than at this point in 2014 (up from 197% yesterday).

The white share of the electorate decreased by 1 point since yesterday. The electorate that voted today was 46% white, 35% black and 19% other (64/28/8 yesterday): a drastic difference; basically enough to reverse yesterday's losses for Democrats.

Code:

White	307619	59.7% (-0.9)
Black	152911	29.7% (+0.4)
Latino	6321         1.2% (+0.1)
Asian	6573	         1.3%  (+0.2)
Other	41975        8.1%  (+0.3)

Female	274536	53.3% (0.0)
Male		230992 	44.8% (-0.1)
Unknown	9871         1.9%   (+0.1)

18-29	 29507	5.7%   (+0.3)
30-39	 36196	7.0%   (+0.3)
40-49	 59665	11.6%   (+0.5)
50-64       162053	31.4%  (+0.5)
65+         218459      42.1%  (-1.7)
Unknown	  9519       1.8%   (+0.1)

Does GA to Souls to the Polls on Sundays?

[wbrocks67]

JFC, you have the possibility of sending the first female black governor in the country. How is the black vote only 29%?!

[wbrocks67]

I mean, I guess the one good thing is the EV so far is Women +10. I'm just a bit deterred that Abrams apparently had a robust GOTV effort and I can't tell if these #s are good so far?

[wbrocks67]

Abrams just needed to keep the White share below 60% to have a good chance, right? Seems pretty big that 42% of the EV electorate is non-white.

[wbrocks67]

It's really sad to think that Kemp has a good shot at winning. He's legitimate and objectively horrible.

[wbrocks67]

Is there enough votes possible to get Kemp below 50%?

Seeing the pictures and posts of GA yesterday was awful. People literally waiting in line like 4 hours to vote. Are we sure all of those votes have been counted?

[wbrocks67]

Even if Abrams losing, she improved on Hillary's margin despite only focusing on Democrats. Considering she's only down ~1.5% (from HRC -4), 2020 is definitely in contention.

[wbrocks67]

I keep hearing about votes that are left to be counted, but it feels like the vote count hasn't moved in like 2 days??

[wbrocks67]

Honestly, considering Georgia's history of run-offs and Dems not turning out (Esp when the state has a R lean), the R+4 result is actually better than I was anticipating. I was scared it was gonna be way worse. It appears that Dems completely fall off in these runoffs, so it's pretty impressive Barrow got that close, and the other race was even closer.

If Dems can get within <2 in the Gov race and <4 in a low turnout runoff when Trump won the state by *5* in 2016, I think it's definitely attainable in 2020. Just needs a superb turnout operation.