MO-SEN 2018: The Megathread

[Tartarus Sauce]

Please just resign. Good grief.

[Citizen (The) Doctor]

Why is this dude still in office?

[Progressive Pessimist]

Greitens is probably as petty as Trump is. That's quite the accomplishment.

[Suburbia]

Greitens should resign before the end of the week.

If not, he will look like the fool that he is.

[fluffypanther19]

Please just resign. Good grief.

[UncleSam]

Ya I think Hawley basically turned a potential negative into a nothingburger by going after Greitens. It obviously won’t help him though since Greitens will damage the GOP in Missouri either way.

[junior chįmp]

Greitens should resign before the end of the week.

If not, he will look like the fool that he is.

Grietens should fight until election day

[junior chįmp]

Greitens should resign before the end of the week.

If not, he will look like the fool that he is.

Grietens should fight until election day

Looks like rapin Grietens took my advice:

https://mobile.twitter.com/ZavalaA/status/986713550541369349

[LimoLiberal]

HAHAHAHAHA

HARVARD HAWLEY FLOUNDERING

https://twitter.com/lindsaywise/status/986975597145612288
https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/986978895974060032

[Hindsight was 2020]

HAHAHAHAHA

HARVARD HAWLEY FLOUNDERING

https://twitter.com/lindsaywise/status/986975597145612288
https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/986978895974060032

Honestly Hawley is just banking on how red Missouri is to win just this is pathetic

[KingSweden]

The MOGOP nudged Wagner aside for this guy?

[Doimper]

Can you imagine how frustrating it is for Republicans to have all these Democratic senators sitting pretty in red states, while the only GOP senator that's entrenched in a blue state is Collins? Mike Castle might've been able to win reelection in 2014, but they blew that.

[junior chįmp]

HAHAHAHAHA

HARVARD HAWLEY FLOUNDERING

https://twitter.com/lindsaywise/status/986975597145612288
https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/986978895974060032

Dat boy gonna lose

[JG]

Can you imagine how frustrating it is for Republicans to have all these Democratic senators sitting pretty in red states, while the only GOP senator that's entrenched in a blue state is Collins? Mike Castle might've been able to win reelection in 2014, but they blew that.

And even then, Maine isn't as blue as Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, Indiana and West Virginia are red.

[RogueBeaver]

Please just resign. Good grief.

[Oryxslayer]

The MOGOP nudged Wagner aside for this guy?

Nah, she turned it down via First right of refusal because of the Wave potential.

[Young Conservative]

Hawley announces fundraising 1.5 Million in the first quarter, with 70% coming from donations of 200 dollars or less. Roughly 70% of Hawley's donations also came from in-state.


Source: US Today Article, couldn't copy the link.

[Ebsy]

Hawley announces fundraising 1.5 Million in the first quarter, with 70% coming from donations of 200 dollars or less. Roughly 70% of Hawley's donations also came from in-state.


Source: US Today Article, couldn't copy the link.

70% of the donations, probably not 70% of funds. And a small share of his money is probably from the state of Missouri. Very weak numbers from the GOP's golden boy and this next quarter is only going to be worse now that he has grossed Our Dear Leader Greitens.

[tmthforu94]

Ya I think Hawley basically turned a potential negative into a nothingburger by going after Greitens. It obviously won’t help him though since Greitens will damage the GOP in Missouri either way.

Agreed. McCaskill was really tying Hawley to Greitens until the past week or so. It has died off now that Hawley has gone against the governor. It would have only gotten worse.

[jamestroll]

I feel so adamant that McCaskill will lose despite a lot of evidence to the contrary.

Maybe she will out perform polls and make me happy.

Though the numbers in old dem territory (Lead Belt and North East Missouri)  compared to suburban and exurban St. Louis and Kansas City will be very interesting.

[Maxwell]

I feel so adamant that McCaskill will lose despite a lot of evidence to the contrary.

Maybe she will out perform polls and make me happy.

Though the numbers in old dem territory (Lead Belt and North East Missouri)  compared to suburban and exurban St. Louis and Kansas City will be very interesting.

I think McCaskill is definitely the third or second most at risk Democrat (Joe Manchin's latest fundraising numbers were not good and his approvals are not anywhere they need to be and I'm going to be the last person to underestimate a psychopath like Don Blankenship, and IDK how the China-Trump trade war will affect North Dakota) in my mind. She's running in a tough state against a non-fringe opponent, and though she's a talented politico she also isn't that moderate.

[jamestroll]

I feel so adamant that McCaskill will lose despite a lot of evidence to the contrary.

Maybe she will out perform polls and make me happy.

Though the numbers in old dem territory (Lead Belt and North East Missouri)  compared to suburban and exurban St. Louis and Kansas City will be very interesting.

I think McCaskill is definitely the third or second most at risk Democrat (Joe Manchin's latest fundraising numbers were not good and his approvals are not anywhere they need to be and I'm going to be the last person to underestimate a psychopath like Don Blankenship, and IDK how the China-Trump trade war will affect North Dakota) in my mind. She's running in a tough state against a non-fringe opponent, and though she's a talented politico she also isn't that moderate.

Yes. Hawley is not a fringe nor a nut case but his fundraising has been surprisingly weak. But still she is talented like you said.

Also for Democrats in red states I am not looking for sheer moderation. I am looking more for candidates who criticize GOP policies and not GOP voters. And being able to work with the opposition of course.

Edit: Also worth noting that Kander came closer to defeating an incumbent in a more partisan contest than Koster did in trying to win a less partisan contest despite Koster being more moderate.  I do think that Koster may have been a better Senate candidate and Kander a better gubernatorial candidate in hindsight.

A problem for McCaskill is that she is not that popular in the St Louis suburbs and she probably needs to win Missouri-02 by a decent margin to win statewide. I am sure both Claire McCaskill and Nicole Galloway will focus a lot of attention to that area as it is not that R of a district.

Another issue is that there is not that much of any indication that the ancestral Democratic areas will be voting Democratic again.  Margins will be closer and Trump over performed for sure but I do not see Washington County voting for Democrats again for instance.  

I also agree with you that Joe Manchin is not unbeatable like many on this site believe. I do believe he has a higher ceiling and lower floor than McCaskill. I am 100% confident McCaskill will exceed 45% of the vote but she can not coast in her race. Manchin I could see really tanking it but could also see him winning rather easy.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Politico article on the race https://www.politico.com/story/2018/04/23/mccaskill-missouri-greitens-republicans-senate-545393

[junior chįmp]

Gropin Grietens is going scorched Earth:

https://twitter.com/DavidMDrucker/status/994274499813150720

No doubt this helps McCaskill

[KingSweden]

Gropin Grietens is going scorched Earth:

https://twitter.com/DavidMDrucker/status/994274499813150720

No doubt this helps McCaskill

When it comes to Fifty Shades of Greitens’ troll game - hate the playa, love the game