What will be the closest state this year, Part III (user search)
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  What will be the closest state this year, Part III (search mode)
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Poll
Question: ...
#1
New Hampshire
 
#2
Pennsylvania
 
#3
Ohio
 
#4
Virginia
 
#5
North Carolina
 
#6
Florida
 
#7
Missouri
 
#8
Iowa
 
#9
Wisconsin
 
#10
Michigan
 
#11
Indiana
 
#12
Colorado
 
#13
New Mexico
 
#14
Nevada
 
#15
Other
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 68

Author Topic: What will be the closest state this year, Part III  (Read 11472 times)
Punditty
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Posts: 72


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« on: October 11, 2008, 09:07:35 PM »

Last time, I thought Florida. Now I think Obama has Florida barring something major.

This time, I'm going with Indiana although North Carolina could be right there, with Georgia as a "surprise" battleground state. Missouri will break one way or the other near the end (as Missouri often does) and won't be as nail-bitingly close as people think. Expect mischief and accusations around the St. Louis vote, as always, which is usually reported late and has erased many GOP slim statewide margins over the years.

But I don't think MO will be close enough for that to matter.  If I had to guess now, I'd say it will end up about 50-47.5 Obama with Barr/Nader/other getting 2.5 percent.

Very interesting thread.
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