2011 Kentucky gubernatorial election

[Badger]

Precincts coming in from eastern KY (Ashland and surrounding counties) are have Williams up 45-41 with just over 12% in. Is he from that region I assume? He's absolutely dominating there.

[Badger]

Also, as occurred with the Senate primaries last year, the KY SBOE is getting numbers in a different order than the AP is meaning there's no real way to tell who is "correct".

Au contraire, mon ami. Clicking on one of the counties colored in as "reported" on the SBOE site will list those precincts reporting statewide in which counties. No partially reported counties there, but plenty on AP's.

[Badger]

Williams up 43 to 38 with nearly 30% in. Tough to gauge based on where the vote's still out. Moffett's still in it.

This would be a huge upset based on the spending figures posted yesterday by JLT.

[Badger]

With over 40% in Williams up 45-39.

[Badger]

Moffett's path to victory is difficult to see at this point but this is still going to be a lot closer than what people were expecting.

Yep. With a bit over half reporting he's down 46-40. It looks like his early lead was caused by a big vote dump from Fayette county where he won big, but is now tapped out. He's taken a narrow lead in Jefferson, but it's essentially a three way race there and his margin won't help too much unless a bunch of precincts from his home neighborhood suddenly report. He is slightly ahead in the important Cinci burbs, but again not much margin overall and mostly reported also. He's getting killed in Eastern KY, but the vote totals there are generally small. Hardin county might close the gap some, but he'll need to start showing strength when the western counties report or he's probably done.

Still, impressive performance as Meeker noted, considering he was outspent over 10-1

[Badger]

With about 70% in Williams is up 46-39. Unless western KY turns out to be Moffett country, expect this to get called before long.

While Moffett is considered the Tea Party favorite, Williams has apparently done a strong job sucking up to them by measures including coming out for repeal of the Seventeenth Amendment mandating direct popular election of senators.

Are there any Republican politicians south of the Mason-Dixon who aren't crazy?


EDIT: And then, with hardly anymore precincts added from the last post Williams's lead is down to 45-40. Hmmmm......

[Badger]

It appears the largest yet unreported county now is Pike. Unless it goes VERY differently than the rest of east KY has tonight, it should come in big for Williams.

[Badger]

Almost 80% in, yet not a single vote counted out of Pike so far, and Williams still up 45-40. The fat lady is clearing her throat, methinks.....

EDIT: Closer to 80% and margin now 46-40.

[Badger]

Over 85% in, the west seems to be coming in for Williams (albeit not in as great a margin as the east and south), he has a 46-39 margin, and Pike still 0% reported.

This one's over.

[Badger]

Moffett hasn't shown much strength outside north central KY (other than Owensboro) and that region's almost entirely reported. Almost 90% in (and Pike continues playing the tease) with the margin now 47-39. AP should call this any minute. Not sure why they haven't yet.